{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6950c252-2749-40a8-801e-5183d0827ec8", "symbol": "ABINFRA", "name": "A B INFRABUILD LIMITED", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.694, "architecture_energy": 62.255, "architecture_maturity": 74.76, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.37, "rotation_up": 27.78, "upward_expansion": 11.68, "deceleration": 47.8, "rotation_down": 59.5, "downward_expansion": 89.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.093333, 10.346182, 11.368571, 12.75028 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 9.96, "trend_reference": 14.691333, "distance_from_trend": -0.322049, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.297584, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.032783, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.3444, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.511765, "excess_performance": -0.468056, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.322049, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.162043, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.032783, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.569361, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.393444, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.255028, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.511765, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.241854, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1500687, "relative_activity": 0.279659, "balance": 0.241854, "dry_up": 1.069385, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.133534, "annualized_volatility": 0.484165, "from_high_reference": -0.57725, "from_low_reference": 0.09571 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.691333, "fair_value_reference": 10.297584, "structural_low": 9.09, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.004016, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.025059, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.518797, "worst_return": -0.218126, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.499806, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.462714, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.594379, "worst_return": -0.286062, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.8189, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.851104, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.550202, "worst_return": 0.699717, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"green", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-04-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.119266, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-05-03", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.128843, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.502925, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.217081, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.073969, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.30703, "active": false }, 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"direction": -71.954548, "energy": 61.488007, "activity_lines": [ 10.766, 11.040364, 12.677, 14.117462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.08, "volume": 8426633, "typical_volume": 5890844.85, "trend": 15.526667, "fair_value": 10.159437, "relative_strength": -39.747031, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.480197, "energy": 60.870055, "activity_lines": [ 10.53, 10.759273, 12.294619, 13.747742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.32, "volume": 7831709, "typical_volume": 6143190.8, "trend": 15.276333, "fair_value": 10.206584, "relative_strength": -36.324425, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.791948, "energy": 60.344686, "activity_lines": [ 10.423333, 10.607818, 11.972952, 13.411828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.05, "volume": 5194818, "typical_volume": 5868983.3, "trend": 14.987667, "fair_value": 10.252346, "relative_strength": -38.958883, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.995214, "energy": 60.76236, "activity_lines": [ 10.217333, 10.458182, 11.65881, 13.074645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.96, "volume": 1500687, "typical_volume": 5366133.0, "trend": 14.691333, "fair_value": 10.297584, "relative_strength": -39.3444, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.693761, "energy": 62.254795, "activity_lines": [ 10.093333, 10.346182, 11.368571, 12.75028 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }