{ "ticker": { "uuid": "69560972-25c5-466d-a811-fe441d9207db", "symbol": "600571", "name": "Sunyard Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.096, "architecture_energy": 47.993, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 69.315, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.11, "rotation_up": 27.22, "upward_expansion": 19.8, "deceleration": 66.99, "rotation_down": 47.36, "downward_expansion": 72.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.09959, 10.016781, 10.764081, 11.625164 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.58, "trend_reference": 12.92998, "distance_from_trend": -0.181747, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.085309, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.19146, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.253164, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.339988, "excess_performance": -0.296784, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.181747, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.131575, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.19146, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213434, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.272532, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016518, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.339988, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.412508, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 74161584, "relative_activity": 2.103095, "balance": 0.412508, "dry_up": 1.557201, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089197, "annualized_volatility": 0.304931, "from_high_reference": -0.484154, "from_low_reference": 0.169046 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.92998, "fair_value_reference": 13.085309, "structural_low": 9.050116, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.01654, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.565217, "median_excess_return": -0.00555, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.32485, "worst_return": -0.182541, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.036077, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.008843, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.56847, "worst_return": -0.277624, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.379, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.301366, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.991018, "worst_return": -0.323853, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"down", "direction": -77.13798, "energy": 71.413538, "activity_lines": [ 9.70561, 10.184385, 11.272168, 12.233031 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.39, "volume": 49092117, "typical_volume": 32341415.65, "trend": 13.27198, "fair_value": 13.06315, "relative_strength": -34.99741, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.731043, "energy": 68.453426, "activity_lines": [ 9.562983, 9.941123, 11.007647, 11.970236 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.45, "volume": 54814260, "typical_volume": 33288173.8, "trend": 13.106647, "fair_value": 13.073346, "relative_strength": -27.077238, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.740713, "energy": 62.549263, "activity_lines": [ 9.839689, 9.953861, 10.870078, 11.788173 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.58, "volume": 74161584, "typical_volume": 35263074.45, "trend": 12.92998, "fair_value": 13.085309, "relative_strength": -27.253164, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.095778, "energy": 47.992554, "activity_lines": [ 10.09959, 10.016781, 10.764081, 11.625164 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }