{ "ticker": { "uuid": "695f9286-3234-49b9-aa33-78a97b4691c6", "symbol": "PRME", "name": "Prime Medicine, Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.314, "architecture_energy": 36.701, "architecture_maturity": 18.988, "architecture_confidence": 86.711, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.1, "rotation_up": 17.01, "upward_expansion": 9.32, "deceleration": 39.84, "rotation_down": 56.98, "downward_expansion": 75.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.064667, 3.211636, 3.245429, 3.329097 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.08, "trend_reference": 3.469833, "distance_from_trend": -0.112349, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.723173, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.347896, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.521625, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.137255, "excess_performance": -0.324709, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.112349, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044562, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.347896, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084722, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.295216, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028615, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.137255, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.773067, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14783554, "relative_activity": 1.063871, "balance": 0.773067, "dry_up": 1.033269, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.198551, "annualized_volatility": 0.819916, "from_high_reference": -0.556196, "from_low_reference": 0.153558 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.469833, "fair_value_reference": 4.723173, "structural_low": 2.67, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.143214, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.136357, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.041056, "worst_return": -0.261851, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.202703, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.234492, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": -0.164786, "worst_return": -0.360601, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.424973, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.51674, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.334086, "worst_return": -0.51586, "sufficient": false }, { 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.062087, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.509259, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.255859, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.181009, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.255079, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": 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-9.478167, "energy": 7.963428, "activity_lines": [ 3.424667, 3.299, 3.356119, 3.446097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.78, "volume": 31531117, "typical_volume": 14293855.05, "trend": 3.554167, "fair_value": 5.000096, "relative_strength": -16.832535, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.37474, "energy": 18.164248, "activity_lines": [ 3.593667, 3.396545, 3.386857, 3.459978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.13, "volume": 16630006, "typical_volume": 13919490.75, "trend": 3.537167, "fair_value": 4.923942, "relative_strength": -27.502911, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.259702, "energy": 16.794029, "activity_lines": [ 3.498, 3.369182, 3.353262, 3.432613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.95, "volume": 14112420, "typical_volume": 13879457.5, "trend": 3.518833, "fair_value": 4.847724, "relative_strength": -29.879673, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.615355, "energy": 14.079631, "activity_lines": [ 3.318667, 3.310545, 3.309619, 3.394731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.92, "volume": 11907254, "typical_volume": 13844647.7, "trend": 3.4985, "fair_value": 4.778365, "relative_strength": -30.301397, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.353745, "energy": 30.927653, "activity_lines": [ 3.148, 3.246091, 3.268167, 3.356097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.08, "volume": 14783554, "typical_volume": 13895996.0, "trend": 3.469833, "fair_value": 4.723173, "relative_strength": -29.521625, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.313715, "energy": 36.701361, "activity_lines": [ 3.064667, 3.211636, 3.245429, 3.329097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }