{ "ticker": { "uuid": "69636303-0986-4b35-9ad1-ef9c4c8eef4d", "symbol": "RAM", "name": "Ramkhamhaeng Hospital Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 60.073, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.508, "architecture_energy": 46.774, "architecture_maturity": 7.147, "architecture_confidence": 94.401, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.81, "rotation_up": 15.86, "upward_expansion": 7.98, "deceleration": 43.4, "rotation_down": 63.54, "downward_expansion": 85.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.906667, 17.945455, 18.07, 18.12204 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 17.9, "trend_reference": 18.160378, "distance_from_trend": -0.014338, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.03208, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.255162, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.99315, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.005675, "excess_performance": -0.198, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.014338, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001135, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.255162, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041105, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.149932, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02238, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.005675, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.139415, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 223200, "relative_activity": 1.286085, "balance": 0.139415, "dry_up": 1.689571, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015471, "annualized_volatility": 0.061097, "from_high_reference": -0.214092, "from_low_reference": 0.052473 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.160378, "fair_value_reference": 24.03208, "structural_low": 17.604324, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.016327, "positive_rate": 0.21875, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.011102, "regime_survival": 0.9375, "best_return": 0.115607, "worst_return": -0.131707, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.056911, "positive_rate": 0.181818, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.014924, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.233679, "worst_return": -0.205906, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.184063, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.06669, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.310644, "worst_return": -0.243424, "sufficient": 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"modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.082461, "energy": 43.893048, "activity_lines": [ 18.006667, 18.1, 18.177197, 18.196137 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.9, "volume": 355800, "typical_volume": 201140.0, "trend": 18.193802, "fair_value": 24.451523, "relative_strength": -17.425803, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.031346, "energy": 50.744287, "activity_lines": [ 17.973333, 18.049091, 18.147655, 18.177176 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.9, "volume": 421100, "typical_volume": 194195.0, "trend": 18.187081, "fair_value": 24.30925, "relative_strength": -17.289099, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.074249, "energy": 51.087609, "activity_lines": [ 17.946667, 18.005454, 18.120494, 18.158221 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.9, "volume": 172800, "typical_volume": 184545.0, "trend": 18.17373, "fair_value": 24.166978, "relative_strength": -15.933342, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.57722, "energy": 48.69723, "activity_lines": [ 17.92, 17.970909, 18.094767, 18.1397 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.9, "volume": 223200, "typical_volume": 173550.0, "trend": 18.160378, "fair_value": 24.03208, "relative_strength": -14.99315, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.508003, "energy": 46.773654, "activity_lines": [ 17.906667, 17.945455, 18.07, 18.12204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }