{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6968cfb9-b04c-40ad-bd15-04fe04d589ff", "symbol": "SEB", "name": "Stoneweg Europe Stapled Trust", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 63.66, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 7.384, "architecture_energy": 14.053, "architecture_maturity": 29.308, "architecture_confidence": 51.995, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.52, "rotation_up": 44.69, "upward_expansion": 48.1, "deceleration": 33.52, "rotation_down": 25.52, "downward_expansion": 11.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.322667, 2.317818, 2.310381, 2.30871 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.28, "trend_reference": 2.317903, "distance_from_trend": -0.016352, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.97117, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.156673, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.335411, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.009242, "excess_performance": -0.164077, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.016352, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002105, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.156673, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047645, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.163354, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.110978, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.009242, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.821796, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 288500, "relative_activity": 1.181312, "balance": 0.821796, "dry_up": 0.962145, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024291, "annualized_volatility": 0.119171, "from_high_reference": -0.085454, "from_low_reference": 0.056808 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.317903, "fair_value_reference": 1.97117, "structural_low": 2.19, 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after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.460017, "energy": 41.983421, "activity_lines": [ 2.342, 2.324727, 2.31219, 2.311593 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.28, "volume": 288500, "typical_volume": 244220.0, "trend": 2.317903, "fair_value": 1.97117, "relative_strength": -16.335411, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 7.383587, "energy": 14.053151, "activity_lines": [ 2.322667, 2.317818, 2.310381, 2.30871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }