{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "69702493-9f6a-438b-8529-d9e87312d7e1",
    "symbol": "IAEX",
    "name": "iShares AEX UCITS ETF EUR (Dist)",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.584,
    "architecture_energy": 73.94,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.73,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.824,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.17,
        "rotation_up": 73.36,
        "upward_expansion": 92.12,
        "deceleration": 47.16,
        "rotation_down": 19.03,
        "downward_expansion": 14.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        109.849333,
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        106.599052,
        104.74422
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 111.300003,
    "trend_reference": 102.711832,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.083614,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 88.652121,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.255469,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.624926,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.124189,
    "excess_performance": 0.007526,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083614,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045784,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.255469,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078611,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006249,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006069,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.124189,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.61,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 46570,
      "relative_activity": 0.486143,
      "balance": 1.61,
      "dry_up": 0.712132,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021572,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.140788,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004472,
      "from_low_reference": 0.2685
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 102.711832,
      "fair_value_reference": 88.652121,
      "structural_low": 94.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.00869,
        "positive_rate": 0.605263,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.605263,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001126,
        "regime_survival": 0.789474,
        "best_return": 0.071495,
        "worst_return": -0.094674,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.023417,
        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.692308,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006243,
        "regime_survival": 0.538462,
        "best_return": 0.12488,
        "worst_return": -0.027362,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.040599,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010928,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.039294,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.087912,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023151,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.143814,
        "worst_return": -0.059503,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.007896,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 129949.45,
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        "energy": 73.080158,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 108.879997,
        "volume": 67173,
        "typical_volume": 117258.65,
        "trend": 101.834427,
        "fair_value": 88.169768,
        "relative_strength": 0.416161,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 70.429568,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 109.639999,
        "volume": 69009,
        "typical_volume": 108826.5,
        "trend": 102.278382,
        "fair_value": 88.403955,
        "relative_strength": 0.257037,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.057891,
        "energy": 67.62458,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 111.300003,
        "volume": 46570,
        "typical_volume": 95794.8,
        "trend": 102.711832,
        "fair_value": 88.652121,
        "relative_strength": 0.624926,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.584186,
        "energy": 73.939968,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}