{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6970ccc2-6e04-4dab-8ecc-0375eb688c7c", "symbol": "6754", "name": "Rich Honour International Designs Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 71.036, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 41.323, "architecture_energy": 21.834, "architecture_maturity": 36.129, "architecture_confidence": 70.783, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.93, "rotation_up": 46.38, "upward_expansion": 75.51, "deceleration": 54.9, "rotation_down": 22.23, "downward_expansion": 6.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.21, 42.133469, 41.976514, 41.85971 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 41.75, "trend_reference": 41.682804, "distance_from_trend": 0.001612, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 49.211209, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.151616, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.303648, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.050329, "excess_performance": -0.391043, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001612, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012812, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.151616, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022685, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.313036, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.099721, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.050329, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.553823, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 75100, "relative_activity": 0.692402, "balance": 1.553823, "dry_up": 0.691879, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044746, "annualized_volatility": 0.215807, "from_high_reference": -0.147846, "from_low_reference": 0.127694 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.682804, "fair_value_reference": 49.211209, "structural_low": 37.02246, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.015701, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.051217, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.022892, "worst_return": -0.137461, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.018888, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.136709, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": -0.015411, "worst_return": -0.086474, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.064675, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.259107, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.034007, "worst_return": -0.095344, 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41.829615, "fair_value": 49.210553, "relative_strength": -28.33451, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.9883, "energy": 18.497524, "activity_lines": [ 42.339999, 42.0777, 41.954842, 41.820291 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.450001, "volume": 50000, "typical_volume": 107468.0, "trend": 41.759403, "fair_value": 49.212074, "relative_strength": -28.812674, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.520037, "energy": 32.873162, "activity_lines": [ 42.38, 42.18957, 42.00203, 41.860316 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 41.75, "volume": 75100, "typical_volume": 108463.0, "trend": 41.682804, "fair_value": 49.211209, "relative_strength": -31.303648, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.323477, "energy": 21.834485, "activity_lines": [ 42.21, 42.133469, 41.976514, 41.85971 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }