{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6973a737-77d3-4a4d-9e21-f830c25098fe", "symbol": "002508", "name": "Hangzhou Robam Appliances Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.384, "architecture_energy": 43.976, "architecture_maturity": 92.451, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.54, "rotation_up": 27.35, "upward_expansion": 19.01, "deceleration": 46.98, "rotation_down": 44.97, "downward_expansion": 71.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.490667, 15.430909, 16.103813, 17.030955 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.25, "trend_reference": 18.180478, "distance_from_trend": -0.161188, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.1221, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.242127, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.629988, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.273464, "excess_performance": -0.280863, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.161188, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072857, "read": "Falling" 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14.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.018898, "positive_rate": 0.62963, "directional_follow_through": 0.37037, "median_excess_return": 0.001865, "regime_survival": 0.740741, "best_return": 0.226722, "worst_return": -0.111583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.109613, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": 0.0752, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.212027, "worst_return": -0.313239, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.055283, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.023283, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.204362, "worst_return": -0.26982, "sufficient": true }, { 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16.680208, 17.605908 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.24, "volume": 46579749, "typical_volume": 25519155.25, "trend": 18.435812, "fair_value": 20.202641, "relative_strength": -19.967074, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.71866, "energy": 61.567533, "activity_lines": [ 15.299333, 15.488369, 16.441283, 17.389856 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.94, "volume": 60489096, "typical_volume": 27404102.8, "trend": 18.317145, "fair_value": 20.165916, "relative_strength": -14.44419, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.760509, "energy": 47.195426, "activity_lines": [ 15.56, 15.51401, 16.293786, 17.228836 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.25, "volume": 48954641, "typical_volume": 28697436.95, "trend": 18.180478, "fair_value": 20.1221, "relative_strength": -21.629988, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.384202, "energy": 43.976139, "activity_lines": [ 15.490667, 15.430909, 16.103813, 17.030955 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }