{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "697959f8-78cb-402c-af4b-d323e2cbdcfb",
    "symbol": "DBAN",
    "name": "Deutsche Beteiligungs AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -71.892,
    "architecture_energy": 86.376,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.455,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.756,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 10.73,
        "upward_expansion": 20.84,
        "deceleration": 37.65,
        "rotation_down": 81.35,
        "downward_expansion": 98.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        21.423333,
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 21.35,
    "trend_reference": 23.873,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.105684,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 24.643639,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.133651,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -28.355843,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.152778,
    "excess_performance": -0.327025,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.105684,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032947,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.133651,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.116279,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.283558,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.122568,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.152778,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.767123,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 200,
      "relative_activity": 14.545455,
      "balance": 2.767123,
      "dry_up": 3.636364,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031331,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.142568,
      "from_high_reference": -0.181992,
      "from_low_reference": 0.028916
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 23.873,
      "fair_value_reference": 24.643639,
      "structural_low": 20.75,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.012122,
        "positive_rate": 0.541667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.458333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013501,
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        "worst_return": -0.138103,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.086588,
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        "direction": -23.806166,
        "energy": 20.563237,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.281599,
          24.349527,
          24.6494,
          24.700051
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 24.576,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 21.9,
        "trend": 24.6532,
        "fair_value": 25.010467,
        "relative_strength": -16.098997,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -8.125041,
        "energy": 6.444525,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.425599,
          24.368436,
          24.623209,
          24.695127
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 24.24,
        "volume": 14,
        "typical_volume": 22.6,
        "trend": 24.6612,
        "fair_value": 24.989722,
        "relative_strength": -16.387857,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -10.661394,
        "energy": 7.981758,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.4096,
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          24.567276,
          24.668469
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 24.48,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 22.6,
        "trend": 24.660533,
        "fair_value": 24.979645,
        "relative_strength": -16.798442,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -32.027424,
        "energy": 15.701074,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.432,
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          24.538295,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 24.623999,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 22.7,
        "trend": 24.686333,
        "fair_value": 24.965484,
        "relative_strength": -18.018057,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.833345,
        "energy": 14.42932,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.5024,
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          24.526933,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 23.1,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 17.7,
        "trend": 24.658,
        "fair_value": 24.940965,
        "relative_strength": -21.726366,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.459936,
        "energy": 44.683723,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.0328,
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          24.552077
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 23.450001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 17.7,
        "trend": 24.653,
        "fair_value": 24.920162,
        "relative_strength": -22.215869,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.271876,
        "energy": 53.545347,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.781467,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 23.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2.75,
        "trend": 24.629667,
        "fair_value": 24.901482,
        "relative_strength": -26.254938,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.145448,
        "energy": 70.117853,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.4552,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 22.9,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2.75,
        "trend": 24.584667,
        "fair_value": 24.877743,
        "relative_strength": -24.513268,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.233095,
        "energy": 79.080424,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.178267,
          23.627709,
          23.97379,
          24.255905
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 22.25,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.8,
        "trend": 24.484667,
        "fair_value": 24.847186,
        "relative_strength": -27.734697,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -81.945935,
        "energy": 85.97084,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.79,
          23.3252,
          23.779314,
          24.105282
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 21.9,
        "volume": 59,
        "typical_volume": 3.75,
        "trend": 24.384667,
        "fair_value": 24.813502,
        "relative_strength": -27.256717,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -85.031947,
        "energy": 91.318715,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.443333,
          22.993491,
          23.566981,
          23.938529
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 21.75,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3.75,
        "trend": 24.274667,
        "fair_value": 24.774144,
        "relative_strength": -25.702011,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -82.185681,
        "energy": 92.330723,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.126667,
          22.684036,
          23.356314,
          23.76855
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 21.4,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3.75,
        "trend": 24.151333,
        "fair_value": 24.731953,
        "relative_strength": -27.290945,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -82.62607,
        "energy": 92.421634,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.806667,
          22.362327,
          23.127552,
          23.583088
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21.25,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3.75,
        "trend": 24.016333,
        "fair_value": 24.686445,
        "relative_strength": -27.166234,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -79.348416,
        "energy": 90.833321,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.543333,
          22.064982,
          22.899981,
          23.395905
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 21.35,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 13.75,
        "trend": 23.873,
        "fair_value": 24.643639,
        "relative_strength": -28.355843,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.892487,
        "energy": 86.375649,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.423333,
          21.844545,
          22.700505,
          23.223884
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}