{ "ticker": { "uuid": "698e9c31-6787-4633-80e5-14a10a3c847d", "symbol": "TMN", "name": "Toyota Motor Corporation", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.473, "architecture_energy": 37.563, "architecture_maturity": 87.189, "architecture_confidence": 72.08, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.23, "rotation_up": 34.04, "upward_expansion": 25.77, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 20.27, "downward_expansion": 59.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 3213.666667, 3139.745455, 3180.585714, 3323.340234 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 3258.0, "trend_reference": 3531.187663, "distance_from_trend": -0.077364, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3551.9573, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.082759, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.456724, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.176441, "excess_performance": -0.121774, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.077364, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055603, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.082759, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003194, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.114567, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092397, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.176441, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.46473, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65, "relative_activity": 1.355579, "balance": 2.46473, "dry_up": 1.235662, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028549, "annualized_volatility": 0.245832, "from_high_reference": -0.233231, "from_low_reference": 0.108163 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3531.187663, "fair_value_reference": 3551.9573, 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"relative_strength": -15.650069, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.703916, "energy": 65.079336, "activity_lines": [ 3060.4, 3075.872727, 3214.960951, 3389.662578 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3091.0, "volume": 76, "typical_volume": 46.95, "trend": 3565.054329, "fair_value": 3545.962621, "relative_strength": -15.912936, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.417429, "energy": 59.080571, "activity_lines": [ 3078.866667, 3070.745455, 3186.718571, 3357.553696 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3326.0, "volume": 51, "typical_volume": 48.6, "trend": 3549.254329, "fair_value": 3549.17791, "relative_strength": -9.900103, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.360392, "energy": 36.771518, "activity_lines": [ 3170.466667, 3111.745455, 3185.495238, 3342.130836 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3258.0, "volume": 65, "typical_volume": 47.95, "trend": 3531.187663, "fair_value": 3551.9573, "relative_strength": -11.456724, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.472843, "energy": 37.563488, "activity_lines": [ 3213.666667, 3139.745455, 3180.585714, 3323.340234 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }