{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "69a354b4-7d12-4511-a63a-15b670053bab",
    "symbol": "603988",
    "name": "SEC Electric Machinery Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -34.099,
    "architecture_energy": 28.145,
    "architecture_maturity": 80.355,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.201,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.6,
        "rotation_up": 30.02,
        "upward_expansion": 19.35,
        "deceleration": 44.16,
        "rotation_down": 33.11,
        "downward_expansion": 67.02
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        18.946,
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        19.718578,
        21.433283
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 22.42,
    "trend_reference": 23.851613,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.060022,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 17.960704,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.248281,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -8.798022,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.378263,
    "excess_performance": -0.335059,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060022,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.087375,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.248281,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.29288,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08798,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.029027,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.378263,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.476241,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 97353999,
      "relative_activity": 2.802417,
      "balance": 1.476241,
      "dry_up": 2.047586,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.122858,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.638202,
      "from_high_reference": -0.437995,
      "from_low_reference": 0.70754
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 23.851613,
      "fair_value_reference": 17.960704,
      "structural_low": 13.13,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4375,
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        "worst_return": -0.23436,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.226759,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.077135,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.4,
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        "typical_volume": 27451414.35,
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        "fair_value": 17.82898,
        "relative_strength": -31.597962,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 65.454369,
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          15.994,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.459999,
        "volume": 107933744,
        "typical_volume": 30984245.95,
        "trend": 23.912717,
        "fair_value": 17.886117,
        "relative_strength": -18.828306,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.205823,
        "energy": 56.009242,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.078666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 22.42,
        "volume": 97353999,
        "typical_volume": 34739302.2,
        "trend": 23.851613,
        "fair_value": 17.960704,
        "relative_strength": -8.798022,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.099236,
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        "activity_lines": [
          18.946,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}