{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "69a4551f-67c5-4ee0-bc0e-699bb426ef1c",
    "symbol": "EX47",
    "name": "iShares EURO STOXX Banks 30-15 UCITS ETF (DE)",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.694,
    "architecture_energy": 71.052,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.041,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.689,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.28,
        "rotation_up": 67.05,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 57.25,
        "rotation_down": 23.66,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        30.096667,
        29.691,
        28.501976,
        27.563333
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 31.120001,
    "trend_reference": 26.6685,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.16692,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 18.0535,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.723766,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.019396,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.177673,
    "excess_performance": 0.003426,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.16692,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061679,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.723766,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.154647,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010194,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057994,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.177673,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 36.333333,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 18,
      "relative_activity": 1.59292,
      "balance": 36.333333,
      "dry_up": 4.823009,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033258,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.281819,
      "from_high_reference": -0.009075,
      "from_low_reference": 0.449464
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 26.6685,
      "fair_value_reference": 18.0535,
      "structural_low": 22.1,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.026005,
        "positive_rate": 0.708333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.708333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017803,
        "regime_survival": 0.875,
        "best_return": 0.181549,
        "worst_return": -0.119939,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.092349,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.0117,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.195305,
        "worst_return": -0.088652,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.310757,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.112247,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.331814,
        "worst_return": -0.069195,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.484181,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.217812,
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        "worst_return": 0.222679,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.05404,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.034433,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "close": 26.575001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 5.65,
        "trend": 24.9685,
        "fair_value": 16.760109,
        "relative_strength": -4.159762,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.754218,
        "energy": 41.461804,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.997667,
          25.666364,
          25.273714,
          25.251333
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 27.24,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.65,
        "trend": 25.119167,
        "fair_value": 16.868455,
        "relative_strength": -4.368588,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.617677,
        "energy": 56.525373,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.478,
          26.055637,
          25.453548,
          25.397882
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 26.855,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.25,
        "trend": 25.256,
        "fair_value": 16.973641,
        "relative_strength": -4.650215,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.831011,
        "energy": 62.162349,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.691334,
          26.292909,
          25.591548,
          25.509871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 27.610001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.25,
        "trend": 25.388333,
        "fair_value": 17.08318,
        "relative_strength": -4.652647,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.052128,
        "energy": 73.772103,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.070334,
          26.597182,
          25.798762,
          25.661742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 29.51,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.25,
        "trend": 25.6085,
        "fair_value": 17.205538,
        "relative_strength": -2.278906,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.940869,
        "energy": 86.984649,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.974,
          27.178182,
          26.17931,
          25.927656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 28.85,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.25,
        "trend": 25.775333,
        "fair_value": 17.321244,
        "relative_strength": -2.63681,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.169036,
        "energy": 86.422829,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.404667,
          27.570182,
          26.483072,
          26.136785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 29.940001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.25,
        "trend": 25.967167,
        "fair_value": 17.445231,
        "relative_strength": -1.407485,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.048419,
        "energy": 93.49501,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.047,
          28.121819,
          26.879096,
          26.405473
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 29.83,
        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 0.4,
        "trend": 26.139833,
        "fair_value": 17.566,
        "relative_strength": -0.564198,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.206804,
        "energy": 90.896287,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.472667,
          28.566546,
          27.241405,
          26.654688
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 28.74,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.4,
        "trend": 26.242167,
        "fair_value": 17.681333,
        "relative_strength": -2.438166,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.167856,
        "energy": 84.022375,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.336667,
          28.735546,
          27.483286,
          26.822441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 29.379999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.4,
        "trend": 26.371,
        "fair_value": 17.799551,
        "relative_strength": -1.702868,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.883399,
        "energy": 77.370109,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.338666,
          28.970727,
          27.773333,
          27.024882
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 30.1,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 10.4,
        "trend": 26.503,
        "fair_value": 17.923026,
        "relative_strength": 0.649448,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.291421,
        "energy": 66.877891,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.589333,
          29.270182,
          28.105048,
          27.265462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 31.120001,
        "volume": 18,
        "typical_volume": 11.3,
        "trend": 26.6685,
        "fair_value": 18.0535,
        "relative_strength": 1.019396,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.693582,
        "energy": 71.05163,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.096667,
          29.691,
          28.501976,
          27.563333
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}