{ "ticker": { "uuid": "69c2627a-e5c2-4e6e-a99e-b06125049bf0", "symbol": "4102", "name": "Yung Zip Chemical Ind. Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 66.764, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 6.35, "architecture_energy": 10.726, "architecture_maturity": 27.06, "architecture_confidence": 37.385, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 68.14, "rotation_up": 23.96, "upward_expansion": 28.1, "deceleration": 66.92, "rotation_down": 36.46, "downward_expansion": 23.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.236667, 19.464546, 19.019286, 19.018387 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 19.1, "trend_reference": 19.185, "distance_from_trend": -0.004431, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.784855, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.312575, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -33.470344, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.049751, "excess_performance": -0.491123, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.004431, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019589, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.312575, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092388, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.334703, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.130188, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.049751, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.58364, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 172941, "relative_activity": 0.501508, "balance": 2.58364, "dry_up": 0.460407, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052356, "annualized_volatility": 0.196, "from_high_reference": -0.18896, "from_low_reference": 0.157576 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.185, "fair_value_reference": 27.784855, "structural_low": 16.5, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.006431, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.000558, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.162119, "worst_return": -0.106383, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.002469, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.057557, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.128547, "worst_return": -0.029139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.016187, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.00163, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.118597, "worst_return": -0.16129, "sufficient": false 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142103, "typical_volume": 364901.65, "trend": 19.235, "fair_value": 27.909701, "relative_strength": -31.05424, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.218858, "energy": 30.150313, "activity_lines": [ 19.750001, 19.528182, 18.978333, 19.04086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.0, "volume": 57015, "typical_volume": 353952.95, "trend": 19.213333, "fair_value": 27.847554, "relative_strength": -32.459161, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 4.715253, "energy": 10.635903, "activity_lines": [ 19.446667, 19.506364, 18.993095, 19.025699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 19.1, "volume": 172941, "typical_volume": 344842.2, "trend": 19.185, "fair_value": 27.784855, "relative_strength": -33.470344, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.35029, "energy": 10.726, "activity_lines": [ 19.236667, 19.464546, 19.019286, 19.018387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }