{ "ticker": { "uuid": "69e7b122-9056-4fb0-8332-2175689d06dc", "symbol": "STG", "name": "Straker Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.341, "architecture_energy": 79.948, "architecture_maturity": 82.627, "architecture_confidence": 92.91, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.0, "rotation_up": 29.97, "upward_expansion": 21.94, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 41.87, "downward_expansion": 75.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.23, 0.23, 0.240429, 0.25714 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.23, "trend_reference": 0.285833, "distance_from_trend": -0.195335, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.430353, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.465554, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.287802, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.333333, "excess_performance": -0.397039, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.195335, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.128335, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.465554, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022659, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.302878, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017789, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.333333, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038462, "annualized_volatility": 0.460529, "from_high_reference": -0.570093, "from_low_reference": 0.15 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.285833, "fair_value_reference": 0.430353, "structural_low": 0.2, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising 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"energy": 68.191151, "activity_lines": [ 0.23, 0.231636, 0.2495, 0.269602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.23, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 85077.55, "trend": 0.294167, "fair_value": 0.435064, "relative_strength": -28.220667, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.136339, "energy": 78.779469, "activity_lines": [ 0.23, 0.230545, 0.246095, 0.265161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.23, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 78043.8, "trend": 0.290167, "fair_value": 0.432724, "relative_strength": -29.066606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.697756, "energy": 78.354294, "activity_lines": [ 0.23, 0.23, 0.243119, 0.261022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.23, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 75360.4, "trend": 0.285833, "fair_value": 0.430353, "relative_strength": -30.287802, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.340714, "energy": 79.948424, "activity_lines": [ 0.23, 0.23, 0.240429, 0.25714 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }