{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "69e83334-5458-4abc-9a89-860ffbf1fab1",
    "symbol": "MPC",
    "name": "Marathon Petroleum Corporation",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.043,
    "architecture_energy": 86.836,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.931,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.85,
        "rotation_up": 79.88,
        "upward_expansion": 97.13,
        "deceleration": 42.07,
        "rotation_down": 9.06,
        "downward_expansion": 21.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        265.819998,
        254.323635,
        237.870228,
        225.513078
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 258.899994,
    "trend_reference": 206.892342,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.251375,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 155.829749,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.661429,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 15.672602,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.527021,
    "excess_performance": 0.352774,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.251375,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169896,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.661429,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.215926,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.156726,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053031,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.527021,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 1.987952,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058729,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.409143,
      "from_high_reference": -0.089022,
      "from_low_reference": 0.963111
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 206.892342,
      "fair_value_reference": 155.829749,
      "structural_low": 162.202382,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.012583,
        "positive_rate": 0.681818,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.681818,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001793,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.167067,
        "worst_return": -0.151724,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.015194,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000675,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.246328,
        "worst_return": -0.097361,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.002435,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.036667,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.014355,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.052238,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-12",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
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        "return": -0.102476,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.092227,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 17.642862,
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 53.06781,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 235.899994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 17.05,
        "trend": 187.066203,
        "fair_value": 150.955422,
        "relative_strength": 9.636116,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.410326,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 246.199997,
        "volume": 45,
        "typical_volume": 18.7,
        "trend": 190.085868,
        "fair_value": 151.902103,
        "relative_strength": 15.570339,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.819738,
        "energy": 64.156916,
        "activity_lines": [
          233.126665,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 270.0,
        "volume": 66,
        "typical_volume": 20.5,
        "trend": 194.325123,
        "fair_value": 152.956805,
        "relative_strength": 28.40432,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.825396,
        "energy": 93.67951,
        "activity_lines": [
          246.646665,
          236.574784,
          223.754152,
          212.124665
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 273.399994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 16.9,
        "trend": 198.813638,
        "fair_value": 153.998935,
        "relative_strength": 27.368182,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.72284,
        "energy": 94.537728,
        "activity_lines": [
          258.679997,
          244.479999,
          229.365856,
          217.226269
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 271.600006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 8.45,
        "trend": 203.240834,
        "fair_value": 154.981989,
        "relative_strength": 25.730373,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.669014,
        "energy": 91.845634,
        "activity_lines": [
          265.993333,
          251.032727,
          234.394844,
          221.922164
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 258.899994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 8.3,
        "trend": 206.892342,
        "fair_value": 155.829749,
        "relative_strength": 15.672602,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.043105,
        "energy": 86.836495,
        "activity_lines": [
          265.819998,
          254.323635,
          237.870228,
          225.513078
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}