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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.543, "architecture_energy": 64.606, "architecture_maturity": 84.998, "architecture_confidence": 85.128, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.63, "rotation_up": 54.96, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.62, "rotation_down": 28.53, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 2553.294694, 2548.681459, 2483.366152, 2424.865198 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2570.0, "trend_reference": 2357.348307, "distance_from_trend": 0.090208, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2098.233222, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.22484, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.225342, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.133213, "excess_performance": 0.18788, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.090208, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049921, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.22484, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057489, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.102253, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.119284, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.133213, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.843537, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 264, "relative_activity": 0.125813, "balance": 4.843537, "dry_up": 0.465723, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022366, "annualized_volatility": 0.159918, "from_high_reference": -0.018709, "from_low_reference": 0.218759 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2357.348307, "fair_value_reference": 2098.233222, "structural_low": 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64.606421, "activity_lines": [ 2553.294694, 2548.681459, 2483.366152, 2424.865198 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }