{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6a0e9b5c-98d7-4579-8ce6-cf7b3dd46f90",
    "symbol": "HPL",
    "name": "HPL Electric & Power Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 93.525,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -14.525,
    "architecture_energy": 25.007,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.337,
    "architecture_confidence": 45.25,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 57.84,
        "rotation_up": 14.89,
        "upward_expansion": 16.21,
        "deceleration": 59.04,
        "rotation_down": 56.58,
        "downward_expansion": 41.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        338.693337,
        347.088184,
        351.671192,
        346.261829
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 342.100006,
    "trend_reference": 340.665,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.004212,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 407.79127,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.16109,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.714817,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.084311,
    "excess_performance": 0.12802,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004212,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.051332,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.16109,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.153501,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097148,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024984,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084311,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.797764,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 518918,
      "relative_activity": 0.57697,
      "balance": 0.797764,
      "dry_up": 0.484994,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.070515,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.424662,
      "from_high_reference": -0.426406,
      "from_low_reference": 0.338681
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 340.665,
      "fair_value_reference": 407.79127,
      "structural_low": 255.550003,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.037435,
        "positive_rate": 0.357143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.357143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041474,
        "regime_survival": 0.642857,
        "best_return": 0.216944,
        "worst_return": -0.260398,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.013858,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03108,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 1.143087,
        "worst_return": -0.32139,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.210346,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.199283,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 1.165133,
        "worst_return": -0.146051,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.273942,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.226714,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 2.394248,
        "worst_return": -0.342857,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-06-30",
        "end": "2023-10-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.671644,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.102524,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.007801,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031438,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.582069,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.120177,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.143553,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.18696,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.035944,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.053874,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.223935,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-05-29",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1085471.3,
        "trend": 346.720001,
        "fair_value": 405.260818,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 333.5,
        "volume": 409129,
        "typical_volume": 1072465.5,
        "trend": 344.421667,
        "fair_value": 406.082685,
        "relative_strength": -11.113168,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 14.540154,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 331.0,
        "volume": 267933,
        "typical_volume": 1042794.35,
        "trend": 341.868334,
        "fair_value": 406.869455,
        "relative_strength": -12.979303,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.252952,
        "energy": 23.670385,
        "activity_lines": [
          339.456669,
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          351.876668,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 342.100006,
        "volume": 518918,
        "typical_volume": 899383.95,
        "trend": 340.665,
        "fair_value": 407.79127,
        "relative_strength": -9.714817,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.52469,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}