{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6a1c7da2-1afc-4486-8f88-a2795de222d8",
    "symbol": "SILGO",
    "name": "Silgo Retail Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 70.739,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -26.106,
    "architecture_energy": 39.17,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.666,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.035,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.84,
        "rotation_up": 17.22,
        "upward_expansion": 22.22,
        "deceleration": 51.06,
        "rotation_down": 60.84,
        "downward_expansion": 51.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        71.861999,
        73.338,
        74.888143,
        74.866645
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 70.169998,
    "trend_reference": 74.516333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.058327,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 48.001093,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.461842,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.954035,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.063651,
    "excess_performance": -0.019942,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058327,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015994,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.461842,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.364452,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01954,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.242805,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.063651,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.962678,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1032250,
      "relative_activity": 0.808031,
      "balance": 0.962678,
      "dry_up": 0.580784,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.079576,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.261933,
      "from_high_reference": -0.185963,
      "from_low_reference": 0.321469
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 74.516333,
      "fair_value_reference": 48.001093,
      "structural_low": 64.199997,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.032227,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.049732,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.135096,
        "worst_return": -0.070642,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.319291,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.291345,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.319291,
        "worst_return": 0.319291,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.593841,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.517765,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.593841,
        "worst_return": 0.593841,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 1.014817,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.907455,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.014817,
        "worst_return": 1.014817,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.135096,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.183947,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.079091,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.169946,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.377049,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.052028,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.116088,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.054173,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.125847,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.033749,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.150188,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.012916,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
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        "return": -0.081308,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "stage": 2,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 10.481699,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 46.680141,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 716121,
        "typical_volume": 1230616.4,
        "trend": 75.001923,
        "fair_value": 47.010077,
        "relative_strength": 7.584091,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.996032,
        "energy": 7.449469,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.313334,
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          76.044429,
          75.526313
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 74.059998,
        "volume": 781815,
        "typical_volume": 1261003.95,
        "trend": 74.799256,
        "fair_value": 47.35515,
        "relative_strength": 7.881589,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 5.457835,
        "energy": 7.005246,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.886666,
          75.444364,
          75.913334,
          75.465544
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 69.940002,
        "volume": 437592,
        "typical_volume": 1274673.15,
        "trend": 74.593667,
        "fair_value": 47.672165,
        "relative_strength": -1.132486,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.426184,
        "energy": 30.8653,
        "activity_lines": [
          73.145333,
          74.305819,
          75.386572,
          75.152043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 70.169998,
        "volume": 1032250,
        "typical_volume": 1277487.8,
        "trend": 74.516333,
        "fair_value": 48.001093,
        "relative_strength": -1.954035,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.106145,
        "energy": 39.169947,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.861999,
          73.338,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}