{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6a38d0ef-1728-4e99-b0f4-a245bedb8e0e", "symbol": "LDRC", "name": "ISHARES IBONDS 1-5 YEAR CORPORATE LADDER ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 57.228, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Neutral compression", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.145, "architecture_energy": 27.048, "architecture_maturity": 26.156, "architecture_confidence": 87.429, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.32, "rotation_up": 16.42, "upward_expansion": 6.52, "deceleration": 41.8, "rotation_down": 50.72, "downward_expansion": 77.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.978457, 24.998866, 25.009534, 25.011078 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 25.06, "trend_reference": 25.011227, "distance_from_trend": 0.00195, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.397954, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.027135, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.325671, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.001544, "excess_performance": -0.124081, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.00195, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002672, "read": "Rising" 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24.81846, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.003962, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.020291, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.005429, "worst_return": -0.003271, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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25.006283, "fair_value": 24.378924, "relative_strength": -7.760426, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.145966, "energy": 9.821686, "activity_lines": [ 25.020322, 25.027962, 25.022564, 25.019674 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.906303, "volume": 28740, "typical_volume": 98682.05, "trend": 25.006767, "fair_value": 24.384784, "relative_strength": -7.348716, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.735374, "energy": 21.162036, "activity_lines": [ 24.976522, 25.007625, 25.012372, 25.013224 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.921247, "volume": 81869, "typical_volume": 91337.9, "trend": 25.007747, "fair_value": 24.390679, "relative_strength": -7.995169, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.713865, "energy": 40.872741, "activity_lines": [ 24.947814, 24.990032, 25.004318, 25.007707 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.06, "volume": 89825, "typical_volume": 87482.0, "trend": 25.011227, "fair_value": 24.397954, "relative_strength": -10.325671, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.144639, "energy": 27.048169, "activity_lines": [ 24.978457, 24.998866, 25.009534, 25.011078 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }