{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6a41026c-45c7-487f-84e1-854663e505f7", "symbol": "600420", "name": "Shanghai Shyndec Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.308, "architecture_energy": 26.663, "architecture_maturity": 90.129, "architecture_confidence": 74.188, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.27, "rotation_up": 26.99, "upward_expansion": 20.28, "deceleration": 46.95, "rotation_down": 28.39, "downward_expansion": 56.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.712, 8.639636, 8.805913, 9.152561 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 8.7, "trend_reference": 9.619231, "distance_from_trend": -0.095562, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.279063, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.153619, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.157255, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.181562, "excess_performance": -0.138358, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.095562, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056188, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.153619, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050542, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.131573, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054925, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.181562, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.601057, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 41563555, "relative_activity": 1.02949, "balance": 0.601057, "dry_up": 1.408299, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060902, "annualized_volatility": 0.278876, "from_high_reference": -0.254758, "from_low_reference": 0.118252 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.619231, "fair_value_reference": 10.279063, "structural_low": 7.78, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.023293, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.007696, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.23918, "worst_return": -0.141969, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.002904, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.001971, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.44198, "worst_return": -0.112953, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.032213, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.011833, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.155624, "worst_return": -0.246854, "sufficient": true }, { 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"energy": 36.071341, "activity_lines": [ 8.632, 8.597158, 8.894169, 9.271064 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.84, "volume": 44732885, "typical_volume": 40411549.95, "trend": 9.665898, "fair_value": 10.288415, "relative_strength": -9.933922, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.119919, "energy": 29.865398, "activity_lines": [ 8.730667, 8.630723, 8.85166, 9.214877 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.7, "volume": 41563555, "typical_volume": 40372946.05, "trend": 9.619231, "fair_value": 10.279063, "relative_strength": -13.157255, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.307859, "energy": 26.663176, "activity_lines": [ 8.712, 8.639636, 8.805913, 9.152561 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }