{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6a753a75-3031-49c5-a052-8686cd877ccb", "symbol": "SEJALLTD", "name": "Sejal Glass Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 63.036, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 25.31, "architecture_energy": 13.633, "architecture_maturity": 35.103, "architecture_confidence": 64.834, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.91, "rotation_up": 33.19, "upward_expansion": 52.19, "deceleration": 72.63, "rotation_down": 21.79, "downward_expansion": 23.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 739.156673, 741.988184, 744.573333, 712.613655 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 718.450012, "trend_reference": 686.023331, "distance_from_trend": 0.047268, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 496.797757, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.446162, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.052577, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.031515, "excess_performance": 0.075224, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.047268, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054841, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.446162, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.359465, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.000526, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.289738, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.031515, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.892851, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 48138, "relative_activity": 0.699063, "balance": 0.892851, "dry_up": 0.687478, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110955, "annualized_volatility": 0.798519, "from_high_reference": -0.306984, "from_low_reference": 0.885696 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 686.023331, "fair_value_reference": 496.797757, "structural_low": 381.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.033491, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": -0.039775, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.287987, "worst_return": -0.990611, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.097812, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.002784, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.473635, "worst_return": -0.925067, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.008897, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.085157, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.95743, "worst_return": -0.84924, "sufficient": true }, { 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702.627954 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 753.450012, "volume": 47309, "typical_volume": 69047.8, "trend": 690.45333, "fair_value": 490.227885, "relative_strength": 9.682011, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.033992, "energy": 19.802913, "activity_lines": [ 744.153333, 745.935453, 737.329046, 706.413546 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 755.25, "volume": 49889, "typical_volume": 68588.25, "trend": 687.144996, "fair_value": 493.632372, "relative_strength": 6.4022, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.598077, "energy": 24.928437, "activity_lines": [ 748.280001, 747.10909, 743.243094, 710.593977 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 718.450012, "volume": 48138, "typical_volume": 68860.75, "trend": 686.023331, "fair_value": 496.797757, "relative_strength": 0.052577, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.310405, "energy": 13.633148, "activity_lines": [ 739.156673, 741.988184, 744.573333, 712.613655 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }