{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6a7d060d-7dce-43ea-8a21-fc3d41be1cf8",
    "symbol": "600186",
    "name": "Lotus Holdings Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 2.614,
    "architecture_energy": 22.154,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.116,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.034,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.94,
        "rotation_up": 14.81,
        "upward_expansion": 41.85,
        "deceleration": 87.22,
        "rotation_down": 46.34,
        "downward_expansion": 35.85
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.079333,
        10.188182,
        10.444333,
        9.769892
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 9.89,
    "trend_reference": 8.761333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.128824,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.882372,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.681295,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 32.51235,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.597738,
    "excess_performance": 0.640942,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128824,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.243801,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.681295,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.330916,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.325124,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.181914,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.597738,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.658105,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1182134342,
      "relative_activity": 1.241125,
      "balance": 0.658105,
      "dry_up": 0.968846,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.224858,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.775973,
      "from_high_reference": -0.379159,
      "from_low_reference": 0.880228
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.761333,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.882372,
      "structural_low": 5.53,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.022222,
        "positive_rate": 0.461538,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.461538,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013761,
        "regime_survival": 0.461538,
        "best_return": 0.505376,
        "worst_return": -0.313253,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.034198,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.084604,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.378495,
        "worst_return": -0.275391,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.101732,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043333,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.348387,
        "worst_return": -0.316456,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.117635,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.036006,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.932075,
        "worst_return": -0.155063,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-03-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.153846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.001953,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.15678,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.200924,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.4,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.121429,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.08,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.041528,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.042414,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.067126,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.174342,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 944864826.4,
        "trend": 8.560667,
        "fair_value": 5.804744,
        "relative_strength": 18.779956,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 19.522197,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 942701673.3,
        "trend": 8.631,
        "fair_value": 5.838077,
        "relative_strength": 12.85871,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -5.474772,
        "energy": 24.432886,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.89,
        "volume": 1182134342,
        "typical_volume": 952470068.75,
        "trend": 8.761333,
        "fair_value": 5.882372,
        "relative_strength": 32.51235,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 2.613762,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}