{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6a89b54a-0b4b-402b-bd5d-1159c6010a81", "symbol": "LUMAXTECH", "name": "Lumax Auto Technologies Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 72.125, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 9.563, "architecture_energy": 10.934, "architecture_maturity": 28.454, "architecture_confidence": 61.582, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.85, "rotation_up": 34.45, "upward_expansion": 21.37, "deceleration": 65.31, "rotation_down": 33.86, "downward_expansion": 37.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 1570.947225, 1553.971544, 1595.440901, 1605.583967 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1722.400024, "trend_reference": 1598.360185, "distance_from_trend": 0.077604, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 853.406716, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.018264, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 17.50815, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.166859, "excess_performance": 0.210568, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077604, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0193, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.018264, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.295876, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.175082, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.181097, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.166859, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.10988, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1098886, "relative_activity": 1.51488, "balance": 1.10988, "dry_up": 1.010132, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06434, "annualized_volatility": 0.447026, "from_high_reference": -0.092518, "from_low_reference": 0.739798 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1598.360185, "fair_value_reference": 853.406716, "structural_low": 1327.800049, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.006226, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.013898, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.010814, "worst_return": -0.023266, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.485201, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.455599, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.745642, "worst_return": 0.22476, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.589248, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.481973, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.616063, "worst_return": 0.562433, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.857536, "energy": 45.925445, "activity_lines": [ 1538.839909, 1588.399263, 1626.558011, 1620.000442 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1415.001465, "volume": 746673, "typical_volume": 830463.55, "trend": 1596.93446, "fair_value": 830.407003, "relative_strength": -0.299504, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -47.652522, "energy": 63.099928, "activity_lines": [ 1488.17159, 1550.738945, 1605.596567, 1607.989714 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1461.05188, "volume": 494361, "typical_volume": 785436.25, "trend": 1595.049524, "fair_value": 837.44372, "relative_strength": 4.713223, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.002824, "energy": 60.523754, "activity_lines": [ 1467.453312, 1527.289584, 1590.651347, 1599.223096 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1563.219849, "volume": 591058, "typical_volume": 745518.35, "trend": 1591.976851, "fair_value": 844.833927, "relative_strength": 8.494097, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.557232, "energy": 50.757845, "activity_lines": [ 1493.147567, 1525.59891, 1585.773782, 1597.169569 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1722.400024, "volume": 1098886, "typical_volume": 725394.7, "trend": 1598.360185, "fair_value": 853.406716, "relative_strength": 17.50815, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 9.562857, "energy": 10.934221, "activity_lines": [ 1570.947225, 1553.971544, 1595.440901, 1605.583967 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }