{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6a89c16f-fb3e-4a18-a99d-045241c89a15",
    "symbol": "BAMI",
    "name": "Banco BPM S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.831,
    "architecture_energy": 73.871,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.022,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.125,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.79,
        "rotation_up": 72.48,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 55.15,
        "rotation_down": 20.36,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.108666,
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        14.783898,
        14.021728
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 17.004999,
    "trend_reference": 13.181927,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.290024,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.038773,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.115372,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 16.924917,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.379644,
    "excess_performance": 0.208753,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.290024,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091381,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.115372,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.292152,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169249,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.155257,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.379644,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 7.835393,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 32260858,
      "relative_activity": 1.354151,
      "balance": 7.835393,
      "dry_up": 0.938049,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045009,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.347806,
      "from_high_reference": -0.025502,
      "from_low_reference": 0.619254
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.181927,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.038773,
      "structural_low": 10.50175,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 43,
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        "positive_rate": 0.72093,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.72093,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.124759,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 7.285699,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 89.41634,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 7.713617,
        "relative_strength": 11.720303,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 76.857657,
        "energy": 90.847027,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 15.41,
        "volume": 18278471,
        "typical_volume": 26096234.05,
        "trend": 12.805244,
        "fair_value": 7.791097,
        "relative_strength": 11.118731,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.743773,
        "energy": 85.615474,
        "activity_lines": [
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          13.9898,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.66,
        "volume": 19441984,
        "typical_volume": 25090144.8,
        "trend": 12.916069,
        "fair_value": 7.869934,
        "relative_strength": 12.545115,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.253974,
        "energy": 84.850459,
        "activity_lines": [
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          13.579229
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.79,
        "volume": 19409793,
        "typical_volume": 24407284.45,
        "trend": 13.020189,
        "fair_value": 7.950517,
        "relative_strength": 12.260436,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.829977,
        "energy": 70.733952,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.629,
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          14.460619,
          13.764644
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 17.004999,
        "volume": 32260858,
        "typical_volume": 23823684.9,
        "trend": 13.181927,
        "fair_value": 8.038773,
        "relative_strength": 16.924917,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.830527,
        "energy": 73.870961,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.108666,
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          14.021728
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}