{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6a8bdf3f-f9c1-42f5-9fb5-ac8436bf19eb", "symbol": "600265", "name": "Yunnan Jinggu Forestry Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.02, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 18.474, "architecture_energy": 13.423, "architecture_maturity": 19.472, "architecture_confidence": 86.855, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.68, "rotation_up": 28.0, "upward_expansion": 44.27, "deceleration": 77.15, "rotation_down": 33.87, "downward_expansion": 33.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.756666, 22.045454, 22.260571, 21.905634 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 22.83, "trend_reference": 21.341667, "distance_from_trend": 0.069738, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.125641, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.259542, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.516136, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.13244, "excess_performance": 0.175644, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069738, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032228, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.259542, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063532, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.075161, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012088, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.13244, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.43944, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3779880, "relative_activity": 0.993375, "balance": 0.43944, "dry_up": 0.874752, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109606, "annualized_volatility": 0.489097, "from_high_reference": -0.192716, "from_low_reference": 0.338218 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.341667, "fair_value_reference": 18.125641, "structural_low": 19.18, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.020229, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.003157, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.16193, "worst_return": -0.158443, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.01403, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.014981, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.170201, "worst_return": -0.201956, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.018007, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.064221, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.209978, "worst_return": -0.303455, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.035714, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.126754, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.01422, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.114202, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-07-28", "close": 16.73, "volume": 1398582, "typical_volume": 943942.25, "trend": 16.209334, "fair_value": 17.452821, "relative_strength": 3.526332, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", 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21.223333, "fair_value": 18.052051, "relative_strength": 0.014052, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.91595, "energy": 10.02572, "activity_lines": [ 21.609333, 22.244182, 22.219429, 21.792968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.389999, "volume": 2292710, "typical_volume": 3877824.25, "trend": 21.250333, "fair_value": 18.084231, "relative_strength": 3.796176, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.730071, "energy": 13.136602, "activity_lines": [ 21.457333, 22.024727, 22.175476, 21.80372 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.83, "volume": 3779880, "typical_volume": 3805088.65, "trend": 21.341667, "fair_value": 18.125641, "relative_strength": 7.516136, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.473876, "energy": 13.423304, "activity_lines": [ 21.756666, 22.045454, 22.260571, 21.905634 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }