{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6a907915-c1fe-4fe1-97ed-eb231a057d74",
    "symbol": "JARH",
    "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi MSCI Japan SRI Climate Paris Aligned - UCITS ETF DR - HEDGED EUR (C)",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.164,
    "architecture_energy": 63.579,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.493,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.97,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.31,
        "rotation_up": 68.78,
        "upward_expansion": 85.69,
        "deceleration": 55.74,
        "rotation_down": 18.89,
        "downward_expansion": 10.02
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        87.34,
        86.576,
        84.610429,
        83.289313
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 88.68,
    "trend_reference": 81.986334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.081644,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 68.743396,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.290015,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.763671,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.084903,
    "excess_performance": 0.020264,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081644,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032088,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.290015,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077787,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037637,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031275,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084903,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.738371,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 24504,
      "relative_activity": 2.240192,
      "balance": 1.738371,
      "dry_up": 1.678727,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024869,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.169536,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003372,
      "from_low_reference": 0.27158
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 81.986334,
      "fair_value_reference": 68.743396,
      "structural_low": 74.790001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.009945,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001119,
        "regime_survival": 0.730769,
        "best_return": 0.080899,
        "worst_return": -0.071341,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.014008,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.033888,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.062924,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.052486,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.032282,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.043746,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": 0.074933,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "trend": 78.471994,
        "fair_value": 66.408973,
        "relative_strength": 4.479836,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.508986,
        "energy": 18.196158,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.781334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 80.699997,
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        "typical_volume": 15866.9,
        "trend": 78.764661,
        "fair_value": 66.571665,
        "relative_strength": 6.891148,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 20.435614,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 16133.0,
        "trend": 79.018327,
        "fair_value": 66.724614,
        "relative_strength": 9.385953,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 22.670986,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 3656,
        "typical_volume": 16124.3,
        "trend": 79.234667,
        "fair_value": 66.877306,
        "relative_strength": 4.951865,
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        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.583248,
        "energy": 28.113454,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 81.980003,
        "volume": 18843,
        "typical_volume": 15786.05,
        "trend": 79.437334,
        "fair_value": 67.026088,
        "relative_strength": 4.171003,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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        "direction": 53.368297,
        "energy": 42.739308,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 81.610001,
        "volume": 281,
        "typical_volume": 14002.5,
        "trend": 79.643334,
        "fair_value": 67.174358,
        "relative_strength": 4.782477,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.326631,
        "energy": 48.275708,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 83.43,
        "volume": 289,
        "typical_volume": 13386.3,
        "trend": 79.835667,
        "fair_value": 67.321088,
        "relative_strength": 7.280281,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.587325,
        "energy": 58.899869,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 84.410004,
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        "trend": 80.085334,
        "fair_value": 67.484037,
        "relative_strength": 6.645335,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 83.57,
        "volume": 95,
        "typical_volume": 11149.45,
        "trend": 80.285668,
        "fair_value": 67.636986,
        "relative_strength": 6.559015,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.450876,
        "energy": 66.390253,
        "activity_lines": [
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          80.916904
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 87.040001,
        "volume": 182,
        "typical_volume": 10079.7,
        "trend": 80.604334,
        "fair_value": 67.818524,
        "relative_strength": 5.848469,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.107438,
        "energy": 84.137588,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 87.510002,
        "volume": 16663,
        "typical_volume": 10567.55,
        "trend": 80.958001,
        "fair_value": 68.006024,
        "relative_strength": 8.953906,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.001647,
        "energy": 88.209786,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.911335,
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          82.537144,
          81.798195
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 86.739998,
        "volume": 14439,
        "typical_volume": 10632.7,
        "trend": 81.233001,
        "fair_value": 68.184101,
        "relative_strength": 8.537789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.436841,
        "energy": 83.979533,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.427334,
          85.038365,
          83.057382,
          82.171227
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 86.889999,
        "volume": 4866,
        "typical_volume": 10413.95,
        "trend": 81.511001,
        "fair_value": 68.360768,
        "relative_strength": 7.171306,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.711187,
        "energy": 84.463532,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.772666,
          85.573091,
          83.578763,
          82.536194
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 86.260002,
        "volume": 29641,
        "typical_volume": 10960.6,
        "trend": 81.755668,
        "fair_value": 68.54737,
        "relative_strength": 3.908035,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.830488,
        "energy": 72.040008,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.742667,
          85.896728,
          84.000763,
          82.842581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 88.68,
        "volume": 24504,
        "typical_volume": 10938.35,
        "trend": 81.986334,
        "fair_value": 68.743396,
        "relative_strength": 3.763671,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.1644,
        "energy": 63.578591,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.34,
          86.576,
          84.610429,
          83.289313
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}