{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6a9c2912-c4bd-4e39-a334-a028ab3a1d63",
    "symbol": "EDV",
    "name": "Endeavour Mining plc",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 88.97,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -58.273,
    "architecture_energy": 46.726,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.278,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.539,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.51,
        "rotation_up": 17.97,
        "upward_expansion": 7.45,
        "deceleration": 45.51,
        "rotation_down": 57.2,
        "downward_expansion": 80.78
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        69.859331,
        70.521999,
        74.49719,
        76.752939
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 76.529999,
    "trend_reference": 78.773146,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.028476,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 42.673404,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.793389,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -2.211804,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.010225,
    "excess_performance": -0.130646,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028476,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030087,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.793389,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.516208,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022118,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.337649,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010225,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.458823,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1882300,
      "relative_activity": 0.953684,
      "balance": 0.458823,
      "dry_up": 1.015205,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.095237,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.619243,
      "from_high_reference": -0.214076,
      "from_low_reference": 0.779182
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 78.773146,
      "fair_value_reference": 42.673404,
      "structural_low": 63.32,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.080634,
        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.307692,
        "median_excess_return": 0.049582,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
        "best_return": 0.219114,
        "worst_return": -0.081641,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.297054,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.253962,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": 0.003504,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.222989,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.158934,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.01524,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.395064,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.312642,
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        "best_return": 1.89307,
        "worst_return": 0.056413,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-09-06",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.048096,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 3133730.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 77.07199,
        "fair_value": 40.195278,
        "relative_strength": 2.254475,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 481800,
        "typical_volume": 2849485.0,
        "trend": 77.49523,
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 2433555.0,
        "trend": 78.372251,
        "fair_value": 41.04398,
        "relative_strength": -3.849578,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -39.292907,
        "energy": 52.480097,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 128300,
        "typical_volume": 2305205.0,
        "trend": 78.817081,
        "fair_value": 41.355976,
        "relative_strength": 2.824173,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.112306,
        "energy": 45.650595,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 2232500,
        "typical_volume": 2291640.0,
        "trend": 78.963804,
        "fair_value": 41.616778,
        "relative_strength": -7.120755,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -39.67071,
        "energy": 46.262066,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 64.669998,
        "volume": 2015700,
        "typical_volume": 2257020.0,
        "trend": 78.778874,
        "fair_value": 41.843782,
        "relative_strength": -13.754155,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.652458,
        "energy": 66.881243,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.866667,
          72.506363,
          76.873718,
          78.438543
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 67.019997,
        "volume": 1553700,
        "typical_volume": 2151970.0,
        "trend": 78.631831,
        "fair_value": 42.093206,
        "relative_strength": -11.215416,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.640736,
        "energy": 63.599585,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.379999,
          71.03909,
          75.72619,
          77.679905
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 66.339996,
        "volume": 2563200,
        "typical_volume": 2161605.0,
        "trend": 78.606148,
        "fair_value": 42.348364,
        "relative_strength": -12.049079,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.102318,
        "energy": 68.521174,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.281331,
          69.738362,
          74.597666,
          76.886884
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 76.529999,
        "volume": 1882300,
        "typical_volume": 1973715.0,
        "trend": 78.773146,
        "fair_value": 42.673404,
        "relative_strength": -2.211804,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.273089,
        "energy": 46.725803,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.859331,
          70.521999,
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          76.752939
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}