{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6aa38744-bf05-417b-a13b-99a11f766496",
    "symbol": "3563",
    "name": "Machvision Inc.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -28.852,
    "architecture_energy": 27.314,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.128,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.403,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.22,
        "rotation_up": 23.2,
        "upward_expansion": 10.03,
        "deceleration": 55.45,
        "rotation_down": 52.79,
        "downward_expansion": 49.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        657.466667,
        672.218666,
        720.170491,
        728.826844
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 687.0,
    "trend_reference": 701.656655,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.020889,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 439.246717,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.564041,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -18.999145,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.433267,
    "excess_performance": -0.008105,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020889,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103367,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.564041,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.601317,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.189991,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.220048,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.433267,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.328296,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2487008,
      "relative_activity": 0.355264,
      "balance": 1.328296,
      "dry_up": 0.407929,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.140522,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.652615,
      "from_high_reference": -0.298461,
      "from_low_reference": 0.66532
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 701.656655,
      "fair_value_reference": 439.246717,
      "structural_low": 469.01111,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.078557,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.043619,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.10221,
        "worst_return": 0.054904,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.349284,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.243075,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.439226,
        "worst_return": 0.259342,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.867749,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.705018,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.469613,
        "worst_return": 0.265884,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.553963,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.001066,
        "worst_return": 1.001066,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.020592,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.237553,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.281308,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.353234,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.055611,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.214,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.110921,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.00789,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.058201,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.05973,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.439175,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 8353609.75,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 655.0,
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        "typical_volume": 7747369.6,
        "trend": 695.421692,
        "fair_value": 436.116084,
        "relative_strength": -20.35865,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.190678,
        "energy": 41.973753,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 687.0,
        "volume": 2487008,
        "typical_volume": 7000459.7,
        "trend": 701.656655,
        "fair_value": 439.246717,
        "relative_strength": -18.999145,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.852052,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}