{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6abe9acf-4a5e-4677-9fb8-aed9bffa7dbf",
    "symbol": "300948",
    "name": "Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 90.701,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -30.838,
    "architecture_energy": 45.641,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.216,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.05,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.85,
        "rotation_up": 19.08,
        "upward_expansion": 17.31,
        "deceleration": 45.6,
        "rotation_down": 66.38,
        "downward_expansion": 54.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        19.052,
        21.035636,
        22.478286,
        22.332774
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 20.950001,
    "trend_reference": 22.411333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.065205,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 14.07288,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.488679,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 3.474635,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.015019,
    "excess_performance": 0.00762,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.065205,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056325,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.488679,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.286593,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034746,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.156985,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015019,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.803469,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 34415709,
      "relative_activity": 1.464559,
      "balance": 1.803469,
      "dry_up": 1.189516,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.196952,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.736718,
      "from_high_reference": -0.349379,
      "from_low_reference": 0.961611
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.411333,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.07288,
      "structural_low": 14.61,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.231617,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.18069,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.382005,
        "worst_return": 0.081229,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.072945,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015253,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.01427,
        "worst_return": -0.13162,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.210757,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.1367,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.210757,
        "worst_return": 0.210757,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 1.689352,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 1.283917,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.689352,
        "worst_return": 1.689352,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.097996,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018719,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.050534,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.016484,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.421145,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.241348,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.106711,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.055394,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.162326,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.069409,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.134656,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.04953,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.272103,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-07-28",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 23840625.65,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.959999,
        "volume": 25807693,
        "typical_volume": 23386578.15,
        "trend": 22.436,
        "fair_value": 14.035455,
        "relative_strength": -11.220019,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -42.970784,
        "energy": 47.998728,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.938666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.950001,
        "volume": 34415709,
        "typical_volume": 23499029.8,
        "trend": 22.411333,
        "fair_value": 14.07288,
        "relative_strength": 3.474635,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.837983,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}