{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6ac17112-224a-4034-ba52-6d46ce64f660", "symbol": "AZN", "name": "AstraZeneca PLC", "exchange": "BUE", "country": "AR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "benchmark": "^MERV", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 69.316, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -36.098, "architecture_energy": 19.049, "architecture_maturity": 42.217, "architecture_confidence": 76.705, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.57, "rotation_up": 23.88, "upward_expansion": 13.22, "deceleration": 45.04, "rotation_down": 31.63, "downward_expansion": 60.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 65941.666667, 65390.983522, 66461.571661, 67418.679184 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 67400.0, "trend_reference": 68681.352572, "distance_from_trend": -0.018656, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 43839.446007, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.537428, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.008634, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.033345, "excess_performance": -0.069104, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018656, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034079, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.537428, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.358296, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.030086, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041256, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.033345, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.607866, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2318, "relative_activity": 0.860367, "balance": 0.607866, "dry_up": 2.416116, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06036, "annualized_volatility": 0.379416, "from_high_reference": -0.155382, "from_low_reference": 0.242978 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 68681.352572, "fair_value_reference": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.601152, "energy": 33.488548, "activity_lines": [ 64551.666667, 64766.916937, 66569.934301, 67703.961236 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-18", "close": 66400.0, "volume": 12197, "typical_volume": 2617.75, "trend": 68977.185905, "fair_value": 43408.766529, "relative_strength": -9.00739, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.595033, "energy": 24.54262, "activity_lines": [ 65241.666667, 64983.435914, 66458.312505, 67520.433113 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-25", "close": 67400.0, "volume": 2318, "typical_volume": 2694.2, "trend": 68681.352572, "fair_value": 43839.446007, "relative_strength": -3.008634, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.097887, "energy": 19.048698, "activity_lines": [ 65941.666667, 65390.983522, 66461.571661, 67418.679184 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }