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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.662, "architecture_energy": 40.452, "architecture_maturity": 67.878, "architecture_confidence": 64.552, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.64, "rotation_up": 42.46, "upward_expansion": 67.92, "deceleration": 65.39, "rotation_down": 26.06, "downward_expansion": 17.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 1022.293339, 1025.209102, 976.292165, 938.324481 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1017.799988, "trend_reference": 903.651453, "distance_from_trend": 0.126319, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 740.76288, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.373989, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.705489, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.149343, "excess_performance": 0.084704, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.126319, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050823, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.373989, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.206141, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.117055, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063896, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.149343, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.375533, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8824, "relative_activity": 1.68958, "balance": 2.375533, "dry_up": 1.023963, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062764, "annualized_volatility": 0.30065, "from_high_reference": -0.066923, "from_low_reference": 0.915578 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 903.651453, "fair_value_reference": 740.76288, "structural_low": 726.931335, 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"fair_value": 729.28244, "relative_strength": 23.417418, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.831389, "energy": 76.520281, "activity_lines": [ 1037.66001, 1013.987284, 942.277951, 914.201964 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1052.800049, "volume": 3536, "typical_volume": 5275.3, "trend": 897.493915, "fair_value": 733.441123, "relative_strength": 23.043292, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.951043, "energy": 65.791602, "activity_lines": [ 1045.880021, 1026.156382, 957.474505, 924.531487 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 994.0, "volume": 4575, "typical_volume": 5321.35, "trend": 900.514661, "fair_value": 737.260437, "relative_strength": 13.063072, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.711592, "energy": 51.351252, "activity_lines": [ 1028.306681, 1024.249107, 966.062011, 930.757686 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1017.799988, "volume": 8824, "typical_volume": 5222.6, "trend": 903.651453, "fair_value": 740.76288, "relative_strength": 11.705489, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.661575, "energy": 40.452454, "activity_lines": [ 1022.293339, 1025.209102, 976.292165, 938.324481 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }