{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6ad8f953-46d9-43e0-b2c6-08e1615c2cca", "symbol": "EST", "name": "East Star Resources Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.624, "architecture_energy": 29.675, "architecture_maturity": 48.277, "architecture_confidence": 66.582, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.02, "rotation_up": 34.34, "upward_expansion": 70.21, "deceleration": 73.33, "rotation_down": 24.96, "downward_expansion": 3.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.043267, 0.043025, 0.041514, 0.039864 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.043, "trend_reference": 0.038248, "distance_from_trend": 0.124232, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.022354, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.923551, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 26.051197, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.075, "excess_performance": 0.023765, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.124232, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135808, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.923551, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.282462, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.260512, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041061, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.075, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.751921, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6266638, "relative_activity": 1.064703, "balance": 2.751921, "dry_up": 0.81825, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111449, "annualized_volatility": 0.514233, "from_high_reference": -0.122449, "from_low_reference": 1.828947 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.038248, "fair_value_reference": 0.022354, "structural_low": 0.029, "invalidation": "A 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"trend": 0.037915, "fair_value": 0.022213, "relative_strength": 28.111263, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.249352, "energy": 42.477176, "activity_lines": [ 0.0434, 0.043028, 0.041113, 0.039536 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.043, "volume": 6266638, "typical_volume": 5885809.3, "trend": 0.038248, "fair_value": 0.022354, "relative_strength": 26.051197, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.623909, "energy": 29.674848, "activity_lines": [ 0.043267, 0.043025, 0.041514, 0.039864 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }