{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6adda3d6-f55e-4622-9303-08720d5b609b", "symbol": "GSIT", "name": "GSI Technology Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 71.429, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.444, "architecture_energy": 45.774, "architecture_maturity": 9.664, "architecture_confidence": 83.147, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.17, "rotation_up": 12.24, "upward_expansion": 7.63, "deceleration": 42.48, "rotation_down": 64.1, "downward_expansion": 83.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.026667, 6.333, 7.090881, 7.147398 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 6.72, "trend_reference": 7.232, "distance_from_trend": -0.070796, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.195481, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.601723, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.824986, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.019727, "excess_performance": -0.167727, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.070796, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00988, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.601723, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.480725, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.09825, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.3602, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.019727, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.254258, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3325771, "relative_activity": 0.503389, "balance": 1.254258, "dry_up": 0.52349, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.282213, "annualized_volatility": 0.920386, "from_high_reference": -0.629752, "from_low_reference": 1.382979 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.232, "fair_value_reference": 4.195481, "structural_low": 4.64, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.046875, "positive_rate": 0.586207, "directional_follow_through": 0.413793, "median_excess_return": 0.00863, "regime_survival": 0.724138, "best_return": 2.37013, "worst_return": -0.329861, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.030172, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.015333, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 4.738255, "worst_return": -0.399306, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.447699, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.311425, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.921875, "worst_return": -0.449857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.578778, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.394737, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.192593, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.263789, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.174507, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 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"relative_strength": -11.614403, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.109857, "energy": 21.079743, "activity_lines": [ 6.916667, 7.613636, 7.656381, 7.530419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.445, "volume": 3723847, "typical_volume": 7031710.25, "trend": 7.374333, "fair_value": 4.15609, "relative_strength": -23.33601, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.262284, "energy": 34.153403, "activity_lines": [ 6.351, 7.123818, 7.457667, 7.404882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.63, "volume": 2715826, "typical_volume": 6991456.65, "trend": 7.307, "fair_value": 4.163269, "relative_strength": -19.432713, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.506079, "energy": 55.130279, "activity_lines": [ 6.01, 6.722273, 7.2895, 7.292344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.61, "volume": 4068837, "typical_volume": 7018311.65, "trend": 7.269667, "fair_value": 4.173301, "relative_strength": -20.361439, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.157085, "energy": 55.896172, "activity_lines": [ 5.792333, 6.389909, 7.130429, 7.18286 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.72, "volume": 3325771, "typical_volume": 6606758.2, "trend": 7.232, "fair_value": 4.195481, "relative_strength": -9.824986, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.443815, "energy": 45.773513, "activity_lines": [ 6.026667, 6.333, 7.090881, 7.147398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }