{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6addfe02-9b93-4869-8dba-5d1785018bd7", "symbol": "9570", "name": "Tam Development Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 94.82, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.077, "architecture_energy": 13.163, "architecture_maturity": 21.503, "architecture_confidence": 68.16, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.31, "rotation_up": 24.56, "upward_expansion": 24.55, "deceleration": 34.73, "rotation_down": 32.05, "downward_expansion": 47.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 73.646667, 73.79488, 73.590678, 73.895209 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 71.900002, "trend_reference": 75.256767, "distance_from_trend": -0.044604, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 142.230351, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.494482, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.739737, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.102372, "excess_performance": -0.070543, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.044604, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059328, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.494482, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044562, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.127397, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.19022, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.102372, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.725311, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7100, "relative_activity": 0.899469, "balance": 0.725311, "dry_up": 1.162151, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060211, "annualized_volatility": 0.461372, "from_high_reference": -0.389643, "from_low_reference": 0.218644 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 75.256767, "fair_value_reference": 142.230351, "structural_low": 59.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.006122, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.028845, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.006122, "worst_return": 0.006122, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"2026-08-07", "close": 71.900002, "volume": 7100, "typical_volume": 7893.55, "trend": 75.256767, "fair_value": 142.230351, "relative_strength": -12.739737, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.076646, "energy": 13.162747, "activity_lines": [ 73.646667, 73.79488, 73.590678, 73.895209 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }