{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6adeaaf1-19d8-444c-ba5d-8551e13d1b5f", "symbol": "LGHL", "name": "LAXMI GOLDORNA HOUSE LTD", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.199, "architecture_energy": 70.464, "architecture_maturity": 54.762, "architecture_confidence": 93.185, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.29, "rotation_up": 16.51, "upward_expansion": 15.04, "deceleration": 40.12, "rotation_down": 71.37, "downward_expansion": 93.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 205.194002, 211.384183, 223.360335, 233.727463 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 202.820007, "trend_reference": 248.715334, "distance_from_trend": -0.18453, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 190.823835, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.062865, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.616612, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.322352, "excess_performance": -0.278643, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.18453, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080591, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.062865, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.392283, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.256166, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153282, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.322352, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.391178, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 114248, "relative_activity": 1.083309, "balance": 0.391178, "dry_up": 1.171324, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087751, "annualized_volatility": 0.312262, "from_high_reference": -0.492421, "from_low_reference": 0.039569 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 248.715334, "fair_value_reference": 190.823835, "structural_low": 195.100006, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.022807, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.030537, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.183036, "worst_return": -0.136191, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.180173, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.167245, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.721831, "worst_return": -0.065193, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.595071, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.493091, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.53125, "worst_return": -0.003509, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.156598, "energy": 73.099202, "activity_lines": [ 210.617336, 217.907092, 229.550858, 240.152861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 205.369995, "volume": 135222, "typical_volume": 112736.45, "trend": 251.904667, "fair_value": 189.6236, "relative_strength": -24.549046, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.104452, "energy": 70.829011, "activity_lines": [ 207.777334, 214.659455, 226.44862, 236.894216 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 202.820007, "volume": 114248, "typical_volume": 105462.1, "trend": 248.715334, "fair_value": 190.823835, "relative_strength": -25.616612, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.198714, "energy": 70.464009, "activity_lines": [ 205.194002, 211.384183, 223.360335, 233.727463 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }