{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6ae8a747-28b6-4f66-a0ae-da8e29064480", "symbol": "ASML01", "name": "ASML Holding N.V.", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.719, "architecture_energy": 30.515, "architecture_maturity": 67.118, "architecture_confidence": 92.385, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.54, "rotation_up": 32.19, "upward_expansion": 64.52, "deceleration": 88.31, "rotation_down": 27.38, "downward_expansion": 16.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.467438, 49.228256, 47.200793, 44.837823 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 47.75, "trend_reference": 41.876168, "distance_from_trend": 0.140267, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.557723, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.732727, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 19.755268, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.329952, "excess_performance": 0.137627, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.140267, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.203365, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.732727, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106234, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.197553, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08575, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.329952, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.983119, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 920866, "relative_activity": 1.321478, "balance": 0.983119, "dry_up": 1.353152, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078982, "annualized_volatility": 0.287161, "from_high_reference": -0.131818, "from_low_reference": 1.47116 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.876168, "fair_value_reference": 27.557723, "structural_low": 31.9456, "invalidation": "A 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"activity_lines": [ 49.863022, 49.225459, 45.740612, 43.307449 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.709599, "volume": 618117, "typical_volume": 710268.05, "trend": 40.712455, "fair_value": 27.274853, "relative_strength": 27.721824, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.762982, "energy": 54.491715, "activity_lines": [ 50.010156, 49.752823, 46.495573, 44.00357 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.25, "volume": 721867, "typical_volume": 675054.5, "trend": 41.356622, "fair_value": 27.415524, "relative_strength": 19.045446, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.656168, "energy": 36.364963, "activity_lines": [ 49.073451, 49.479176, 46.85071, 44.425347 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.75, "volume": 920866, "typical_volume": 696845.75, "trend": 41.876168, "fair_value": 27.557723, "relative_strength": 19.755268, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.719241, "energy": 30.514557, "activity_lines": [ 48.467438, 49.228256, 47.200793, 44.837823 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }