{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6af02804-0f2a-45cc-8a6a-201c113b6654", "symbol": "AVNV", "name": "AMERICAN CENTURY ETF TRUST AVANTIS ALL INTERNATIONAL MARKETS VALUE", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 80.55, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.477, "architecture_energy": 35.372, "architecture_maturity": 11.892, "architecture_confidence": 63.809, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.59, "rotation_up": 45.51, "upward_expansion": 71.68, "deceleration": 63.64, "rotation_down": 21.4, "downward_expansion": 3.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 83.829413, 83.410154, 83.221467, 82.474377 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 86.2018, "trend_reference": 81.565272, "distance_from_trend": 0.056844, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 61.299694, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.406235, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.062224, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.065665, "excess_performance": -0.05996, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056844, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045597, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.406235, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029999, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.000622, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044767, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.065665, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.455887, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27089, "relative_activity": 0.651355, "balance": 2.455887, "dry_up": 1.019676, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028445, "annualized_volatility": 0.189279, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.304963 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 81.565272, "fair_value_reference": 61.299694, "structural_low": 74.845711, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.06166, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.017953, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.0731, "worst_return": 0.05022, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.080637, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.138452, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.080637, "worst_return": 0.080637, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.213723, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.146776, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.213723, "worst_return": 0.213723, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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{ "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 82.4143, "volume": 34764, "typical_volume": 42576.7, "trend": 80.949104, "fair_value": 60.820145, "relative_strength": 0.338199, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.007004, "energy": 15.102672, "activity_lines": [ 82.45024, 82.871182, 82.684396, 82.018918 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 83.0322, "volume": 69402, "typical_volume": 42350.9, "trend": 81.22528, "fair_value": 61.048461, "relative_strength": -0.123689, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.328454, "energy": 14.128048, "activity_lines": [ 82.6492, 82.847631, 82.816933, 82.153311 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 86.2018, "volume": 27089, "typical_volume": 41588.7, "trend": 81.565272, "fair_value": 61.299694, "relative_strength": 0.062224, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.477281, "energy": 35.371716, "activity_lines": [ 83.829413, 83.410154, 83.221467, 82.474377 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }