{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6af93f87-80bb-4534-82b0-2b6156d1f92f", "symbol": "CRGY", "name": "Crescent Energy Co", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 88.169, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 2.424, "architecture_energy": 16.584, "architecture_maturity": 34.442, "architecture_confidence": 56.711, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.97, "rotation_up": 49.53, "upward_expansion": 33.5, "deceleration": 47.11, "rotation_down": 19.86, "downward_expansion": 24.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.234, 10.806545, 11.246449, 11.442891 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 11.57, "trend_reference": 11.299339, "distance_from_trend": 0.023954, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.555928, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.096067, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.551716, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.165049, "excess_performance": 0.039424, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.023954, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064992, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.096067, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084025, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.015517, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.130802, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.165049, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.758183, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34008505, "relative_activity": 1.043708, "balance": 1.758183, "dry_up": 0.914504, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089979, "annualized_volatility": 0.44874, "from_high_reference": -0.18313, "from_low_reference": 0.535194 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.299339, "fair_value_reference": 10.555928, "structural_low": 9.14, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.25681, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.215791, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.057274, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.087606, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.143617, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.226667, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.524979, "energy": 67.378108, "activity_lines": [ 9.835333, 10.617459, 11.456441, 11.380865 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.75, "volume": 31733170, "typical_volume": 37736688.7, "trend": 10.96951, "fair_value": 10.545996, "relative_strength": -1.366892, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.974453, "energy": 60.904241, "activity_lines": [ 10.022, 10.527179, 11.351287, 11.372833 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.27, "volume": 26027800, "typical_volume": 34483266.95, "trend": 11.075315, "fair_value": 10.552317, "relative_strength": 3.837905, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.371073, "energy": 31.896732, "activity_lines": [ 10.437333, 10.559455, 11.298953, 11.39222 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.47, "volume": 27424491, "typical_volume": 33428672.25, "trend": 11.179281, "fair_value": 10.558116, "relative_strength": 4.339989, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.387975, "energy": 10.912687, "activity_lines": [ 10.864, 10.658182, 11.266953, 11.417683 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.57, "volume": 34008505, "typical_volume": 32584305.3, "trend": 11.299339, "fair_value": 10.555928, "relative_strength": 1.551716, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.424163, "energy": 16.58393, "activity_lines": [ 11.234, 10.806545, 11.246449, 11.442891 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }