{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6b0df600-054d-4644-857d-2e0b29ec00ae", "symbol": "301236", "name": "iSoftStone Information Technology (Group) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -24.598, "architecture_energy": 18.05, "architecture_maturity": 11.875, "architecture_confidence": 67.348, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.66, "rotation_up": 22.17, "upward_expansion": 14.33, "deceleration": 47.5, "rotation_down": 42.85, "downward_expansion": 63.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.902667, 39.430543, 39.41992, 40.219008 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 41.709999, "trend_reference": 42.156219, "distance_from_trend": -0.010585, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.028376, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.09382, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.663579, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.131946, "excess_performance": -0.139346, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.010585, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063152, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.09382, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021594, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.136636, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.197775, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.131946, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.462223, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 204233698, "relative_activity": 1.952408, "balance": 0.462223, "dry_up": 1.532059, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 7 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.129677, "annualized_volatility": 0.60514, "from_high_reference": -0.363206, "from_low_reference": 0.270124 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.156219, "fair_value_reference": 46.028376, "structural_low": 32.839302, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.037114, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.040756, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.02091, "worst_return": -0.110818, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.109025, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.110445, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.078219, "worst_return": -0.218254, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.029102, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.334028, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.441941, "worst_return": -0.297371, 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"stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.134962, "energy": 29.788798, "activity_lines": [ 38.393333, 39.037244, 39.313696, 40.537187 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.330002, "volume": 107788707, "typical_volume": 98928948.5, "trend": 42.346886, "fair_value": 45.912777, "relative_strength": -17.341459, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.329499, "energy": 31.038218, "activity_lines": [ 37.972667, 38.925055, 39.188427, 40.260098 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.709999, "volume": 204233698, "typical_volume": 104606043.7, "trend": 42.156219, "fair_value": 46.028376, "relative_strength": -13.663579, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.597515, "energy": 18.050204, "activity_lines": [ 38.902667, 39.430543, 39.41992, 40.219008 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }