{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6b159463-7a3e-42c6-adcf-397caf608c8c", "symbol": "EAAS", "name": "eEnergy Group Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.433, "architecture_energy": 63.194, "architecture_maturity": 30.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.851, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.8, "rotation_up": 16.78, "upward_expansion": 11.46, "deceleration": 48.1, "rotation_down": 68.98, "downward_expansion": 87.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.028407, 0.030547, 0.038477, 0.042371 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.028, "trend_reference": 0.04694, "distance_from_trend": -0.403494, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.052444, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.466093, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -46.57418, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.476636, "excess_performance": -0.527871, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.403494, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072637, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.466093, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.530136, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.465742, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.532278, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.476636, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.790045, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9704882, "relative_activity": 1.854262, "balance": 0.790045, "dry_up": 1.278666, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.25022, "annualized_volatility": 1.055605, "from_high_reference": -0.58209, "from_low_reference": 0.200686 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.04694, "fair_value_reference": 0.052444, "structural_low": 0.02332, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.034287, "positive_rate": 0.361111, "directional_follow_through": 0.638889, "median_excess_return": -0.057923, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 1.148148, "worst_return": -0.464052, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.05196, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.072937, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.491803, "worst_return": -0.493827, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.052774, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.095338, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.180328, "worst_return": -0.623457, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.137255, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.057692, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.011111, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.091954, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.021978, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.145833, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"relative_strength": -44.046751, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.669186, "energy": 88.904503, "activity_lines": [ 0.0323, 0.04, 0.045302, 0.0476 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.0285, "volume": 5036613, "typical_volume": 4604756.0, "trend": 0.048733, "fair_value": 0.05299, "relative_strength": -45.230191, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.841145, "energy": 89.926883, "activity_lines": [ 0.0295, 0.036909, 0.04345, 0.046254 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0247, "volume": 3441833, "typical_volume": 4623826.4, "trend": 0.04804, "fair_value": 0.05279, "relative_strength": -52.726759, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.263023, "energy": 91.228119, "activity_lines": [ 0.0269, 0.033636, 0.041352, 0.044703 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0315, "volume": 8585922, "typical_volume": 4854826.7, "trend": 0.047607, "fair_value": 0.052665, "relative_strength": -40.112119, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.865273, "energy": 81.457773, "activity_lines": [ 0.02832, 0.032205, 0.04004, 0.043636 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.028, "volume": 9704882, "typical_volume": 5233825.25, "trend": 0.04694, "fair_value": 0.052444, "relative_strength": -46.57418, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.43349, "energy": 63.194396, "activity_lines": [ 0.028407, 0.030547, 0.038477, 0.042371 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }