{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6b346b34-0069-4932-bfcb-cebfb247967d", "symbol": "601218", "name": "Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.765, "architecture_energy": 55.218, "architecture_maturity": 57.536, "architecture_confidence": 92.867, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.7, "rotation_up": 27.85, "upward_expansion": 9.92, "deceleration": 60.15, "rotation_down": 51.25, "downward_expansion": 83.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.372667, 4.372909, 4.832867, 5.164482 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.6, "trend_reference": 5.436695, "distance_from_trend": -0.153898, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.964595, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.16027, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.425498, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.149971, "excess_performance": -0.106767, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.153898, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043272, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.16027, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.509985, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.124255, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.298392, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.149971, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.684717, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 207048924, "relative_activity": 0.831511, "balance": 0.684717, "dry_up": 0.813675, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094649, "annualized_volatility": 0.484054, "from_high_reference": -0.436765, "from_low_reference": 0.19171 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.436695, "fair_value_reference": 3.964595, "structural_low": 3.86, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.021467, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.025081, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.214503, "worst_return": -0.175384, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.081081, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.047212, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.185364, "worst_return": -0.057769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.014942, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.011403, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.436464, "worst_return": -0.124912, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.239222, "energy": 91.829917, "activity_lines": [ 4.216667, 4.516, 5.145947, 5.371049 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.06, "volume": 161544522, "typical_volume": 304315541.4, "trend": 5.469586, "fair_value": 3.951969, "relative_strength": -20.120672, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.064198, "energy": 87.467896, "activity_lines": [ 4.133333, 4.374909, 4.999518, 5.278078 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.56, "volume": 336456620, "typical_volume": 295010572.1, "trend": 5.451148, "fair_value": 3.958062, "relative_strength": -10.733068, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.313698, "energy": 63.412329, "activity_lines": [ 4.254, 4.361273, 4.908707, 5.219395 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.6, "volume": 207048924, "typical_volume": 249003082.1, "trend": 5.436695, "fair_value": 3.964595, "relative_strength": -12.425498, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.764795, "energy": 55.218433, "activity_lines": [ 4.372667, 4.372909, 4.832867, 5.164482 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }