{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6b4424cb-de49-420b-8aaf-a4562d0d7f6d",
    "symbol": "TCH-F85",
    "name": "Meitav Tachlit Mutual Funds Ltd. - Tachlit SAL (40) TA Growth",
    "exchange": "TLV",
    "country": "IL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "TA35.TA",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -65.617,
    "architecture_energy": 67.081,
    "architecture_maturity": 97.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.241,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.73,
        "rotation_up": 29.99,
        "upward_expansion": 12.0,
        "deceleration": 61.0,
        "rotation_down": 53.05,
        "downward_expansion": 83.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        18.845333,
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 18.57,
    "trend_reference": 1304.976,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.98577,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1474.219744,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.987404,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -98.955951,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.990729,
    "excess_performance": -1.019629,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.98577,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.331114,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.987404,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.360488,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.98956,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.813101,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.990729,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.005902,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5559,
      "relative_activity": 0.198066,
      "balance": 0.005902,
      "dry_up": 0.240617,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 8.727393,
      "annualized_volatility": 6.320272,
      "from_high_reference": -0.991355,
      "from_low_reference": 0.008143
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1304.976,
      "fair_value_reference": 1474.219744,
      "structural_low": 18.42,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": 0.000829,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00965,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.153634,
        "worst_return": -0.124881,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.018145,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.064116,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.229941,
        "worst_return": -0.148515,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.060498,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.050168,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.273674,
        "worst_return": -0.133065,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.17855,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.146258,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.407045,
        "worst_return": -0.213713,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.00613,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016717,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.059922,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.055597,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.157858,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.03255,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 27746.25,
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        "fair_value": 1489.01859,
        "relative_strength": -99.004585,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -65.894092,
        "energy": 67.842442,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.81,
        "volume": 14638,
        "typical_volume": 27902.2,
        "trend": 1374.657,
        "fair_value": 1481.664808,
        "relative_strength": -98.967336,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.821715,
        "energy": 67.599123,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.023333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.57,
        "volume": 5559,
        "typical_volume": 28066.4,
        "trend": 1304.976,
        "fair_value": 1474.219744,
        "relative_strength": -98.955951,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}