{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6b47e527-cd20-4f73-9f08-f94fca8571fe", "symbol": "CSCO", "name": "Cisco Systems, Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.243, "architecture_energy": 43.198, "architecture_maturity": 80.13, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.14, "rotation_up": 38.3, "upward_expansion": 66.79, "deceleration": 94.29, "rotation_down": 29.44, "downward_expansion": 16.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 56.253333, 56.159467, 54.722755, 51.288121 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 58.25, "trend_reference": 46.822135, "distance_from_trend": 0.24407, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.343127, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.559859, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 25.467062, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.427372, "excess_performance": 0.30695, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.24407, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.163026, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.559859, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.186408, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.254671, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091925, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.427372, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.232468, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 71500, "relative_activity": 1.080632, "balance": 2.232468, "dry_up": 1.678758, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06527, "annualized_volatility": 0.382844, "from_high_reference": -0.057372, "from_low_reference": 0.834416 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.822135, "fair_value_reference": 37.343127, "structural_low": 35.348815, "invalidation": "A 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"directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.080692, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.063344, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 28.423038, "volume": 11400, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 28.374485, "volume": 6000, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, 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"gate": "up", "direction": 62.475161, "energy": 59.013569, "activity_lines": [ 56.642147, 56.833174, 52.234124, 48.60305 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 53.66, "volume": 168000, "typical_volume": 56240.0, "trend": 44.861595, "fair_value": 36.643984, "relative_strength": 21.229503, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.370963, "energy": 43.763961, "activity_lines": [ 55.607455, 56.384839, 52.790901, 49.204856 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.779999, "volume": 56400, "typical_volume": 57445.0, "trend": 45.437758, "fair_value": 36.865155, "relative_strength": 22.735782, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.225481, "energy": 39.902982, "activity_lines": [ 55.232051, 56.008502, 53.380268, 49.844753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 55.630001, "volume": 148400, "typical_volume": 63800.0, "trend": 46.070034, "fair_value": 37.091237, "relative_strength": 24.418757, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.287914, "energy": 37.384514, "activity_lines": [ 55.351933, 55.824167, 53.96971, 50.502317 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 58.25, "volume": 71500, "typical_volume": 66165.0, "trend": 46.822135, "fair_value": 37.343127, "relative_strength": 25.467062, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.243042, "energy": 43.197806, "activity_lines": [ 56.253333, 56.159467, 54.722755, 51.288121 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }