{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6b4e934b-33a8-4555-81fc-0e6754a72e2d", "symbol": "FDIF", "name": "FIDELITY DISRUPTORS ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.593, "architecture_energy": 44.416, "architecture_maturity": 56.148, "architecture_confidence": 78.422, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.42, "rotation_up": 43.7, "upward_expansion": 72.85, "deceleration": 91.25, "rotation_down": 28.34, "downward_expansion": 10.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.510453, 39.435316, 38.7866, 37.788397 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 41.05, "trend_reference": 36.742643, "distance_from_trend": 0.11723, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.215956, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.315033, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.560572, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.181524, "excess_performance": -0.00593, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.11723, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034288, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.315033, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055408, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.005606, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082399, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.181524, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.149529, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26138, "relative_activity": 0.715035, "balance": 4.149529, "dry_up": 0.601316, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036014, "annualized_volatility": 0.202468, "from_high_reference": -0.001217, "from_low_reference": 0.312414 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.742643, "fair_value_reference": 31.215956, "structural_low": 31.278249, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"relative_strength": -1.447965, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.864315, "energy": 32.883268, "activity_lines": [ 38.90086, 39.06985, 38.430822, 37.501279 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.05, "volume": 26138, "typical_volume": 36554.85, "trend": 36.742643, "fair_value": 31.215956, "relative_strength": -0.560572, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.592886, "energy": 44.416236, "activity_lines": [ 39.510453, 39.435316, 38.7866, 37.788397 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }