{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6b5a454f-7327-4e50-948b-f5a03f52bf6c", "symbol": "AMDG", "name": "LEVERAGE SHARES 2X LONG AMD DAILY ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.825, "architecture_energy": 20.232, "architecture_maturity": 77.099, "architecture_confidence": 93.688, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.93, "rotation_up": 23.0, "upward_expansion": 54.81, "deceleration": 91.07, "rotation_down": 29.94, "downward_expansion": 18.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 96.165693, 103.217651, 98.313413, 83.248814 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 88.8039, "trend_reference": 64.38429, "distance_from_trend": 0.379279, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.912611, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.543605, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 70.325405, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 2.874516, "excess_performance": 2.687062, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.379279, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.677358, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.543605, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.824175, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.703254, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.462236, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.874516, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.138231, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 542741, "relative_activity": 1.23747, "balance": 1.138231, "dry_up": 0.995542, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.352493, "annualized_volatility": 1.232456, "from_high_reference": -0.371878, "from_low_reference": 4.836998 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 64.38429, "fair_value_reference": 34.912611, "structural_low": 18.31, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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99.2172, "volume": 363634, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 107.7703, "volume": 321898, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 87.6, "volume": 518263, "typical_volume": 428087.9, "trend": 62.21009, "fair_value": 34.23897, "relative_strength": 80.734964, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.664291, "energy": 23.806203, "activity_lines": [ 101.937273, 106.917698, 97.559278, 81.533085 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 88.8039, "volume": 542741, "typical_volume": 438589.3, "trend": 64.38429, "fair_value": 34.912611, "relative_strength": 70.325405, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.824592, "energy": 20.231863, "activity_lines": [ 96.165693, 103.217651, 98.313413, 83.248814 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }