{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6b6ac702-af68-4aa8-a95b-e94c633f4df8", "symbol": "UGRO", "name": "Urban-Gro Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.863, "architecture_energy": 87.215, "architecture_maturity": 55.055, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.17, "rotation_up": 29.07, "upward_expansion": 21.97, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 61.96, "downward_expansion": 99.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.403333, 1.676727, 3.190952, 4.291398 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 1.37, "trend_reference": 5.010833, "distance_from_trend": -0.726592, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.24572, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.938415, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -82.852325, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.644156, "excess_performance": -0.831609, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.726592, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.254839, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.938415, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.178795, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.828523, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.420383, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.644156, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.394243, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5353798, "relative_activity": 0.348713, "balance": 0.394243, "dry_up": 0.097737, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.643549, "annualized_volatility": 3.219374, "from_high_reference": -0.962973, "from_low_reference": 0.234234 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.010833, "fair_value_reference": 22.24572, "structural_low": 1.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.051095, "positive_rate": 0.439024, "directional_follow_through": 0.560976, "median_excess_return": -0.080503, "regime_survival": 0.804878, "best_return": 6.100806, "worst_return": -0.529743, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.094911, "positive_rate": 0.266667, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": -0.14001, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.482274, "worst_return": -0.651786, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.399937, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.314241, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": -0.02649, "worst_return": -0.746568, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"close": 1.73, "volume": 157022, "typical_volume": 15127261.15, "trend": 5.613333, "fair_value": 22.811873, "relative_strength": -79.152359, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.424479, "energy": 85.443362, "activity_lines": [ 1.879333, 2.323636, 4.518048, 5.084048 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.38, "volume": 213504, "typical_volume": 15129206.7, "trend": 5.400083, "fair_value": 22.618796, "relative_strength": -82.610596, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.864353, "energy": 88.198754, "activity_lines": [ 1.671333, 2.064545, 4.07681, 4.81093 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.18, "volume": 277894, "typical_volume": 15100299.15, "trend": 5.202667, "fair_value": 22.42604, "relative_strength": -84.804417, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.869199, "energy": 89.822579, "activity_lines": [ 1.478, 1.828182, 3.621524, 4.538667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.37, "volume": 5353798, "typical_volume": 15353034.55, "trend": 5.010833, "fair_value": 22.24572, "relative_strength": -82.852325, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.863219, "energy": 87.214614, "activity_lines": [ 1.403333, 1.676727, 3.190952, 4.291398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }