{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6b77b6e5-e93e-4ba0-99fd-150bfb391fa0", "symbol": "FUFU", "name": "BitFuFu Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.381, "architecture_energy": 51.102, "architecture_maturity": 97.405, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.17, "rotation_up": 21.72, "upward_expansion": 7.83, "deceleration": 47.48, "rotation_down": 59.18, "downward_expansion": 83.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.349333, 1.404, 1.610524, 1.764559 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.3, "trend_reference": 2.014667, "distance_from_trend": -0.354732, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.650297, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.643865, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -56.888461, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.511278, "excess_performance": -0.698732, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.354732, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192842, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.643865, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.238628, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.568885, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.187183, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.511278, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.343987, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 346382, "relative_activity": 0.318172, "balance": 0.343987, "dry_up": 0.540409, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.254621, "annualized_volatility": 0.94279, "from_high_reference": -0.714912, "from_low_reference": 0.031746 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.014667, "fair_value_reference": 3.650297, "structural_low": 1.26, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.158249, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.167034, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.583333, "worst_return": -0.315789, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.208605, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.307537, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.20202, "worst_return": -0.21519, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.373737, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.567703, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.373737, "worst_return": -0.373737, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.064564, "energy": 63.98195, "activity_lines": [ 1.472667, 1.604909, 1.805333, 1.96914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.4, "volume": 322486, "typical_volume": 1071929.95, "trend": 2.166667, "fair_value": 3.705824, "relative_strength": -54.65224, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.803757, "energy": 66.699796, "activity_lines": [ 1.432667, 1.541455, 1.753143, 1.917075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.31, "volume": 891103, "typical_volume": 1103403.55, "trend": 2.127, "fair_value": 3.68681, "relative_strength": -55.952848, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.244212, "energy": 66.725811, "activity_lines": [ 1.376667, 1.478182, 1.697, 1.861806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.4, "volume": 793325, "typical_volume": 1103116.75, "trend": 2.080333, "fair_value": 3.668803, "relative_strength": -52.332885, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.903716, "energy": 53.38637, "activity_lines": [ 1.376667, 1.444364, 1.656048, 1.814903 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.3, "volume": 346382, "typical_volume": 1088663.85, "trend": 2.014667, "fair_value": 3.650297, "relative_strength": -56.888461, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.381286, "energy": 51.101949, "activity_lines": [ 1.349333, 1.404, 1.610524, 1.764559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }