{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6b7d867b-f91c-4e98-80d3-ad862f4a6f57", "symbol": "LVSC", "name": "Las Vegas Sands Corp.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -76.31, "architecture_energy": 58.574, "architecture_maturity": 53.54, "architecture_confidence": 92.179, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.68, "rotation_up": 22.59, "upward_expansion": 8.46, "deceleration": 52.29, "rotation_down": 63.27, "downward_expansion": 84.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.376216, 40.785412, 42.110889, 43.216622 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 39.41, "trend_reference": 44.736167, "distance_from_trend": -0.119057, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 42.947296, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.082364, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.216297, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.174284, "excess_performance": -0.34853, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.119057, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093546, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.082364, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129981, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.322163, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.161747, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.174284, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.35335, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 988, "relative_activity": 8.11499, "balance": 0.35335, "dry_up": 3.702259, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046457, "annualized_volatility": 0.238986, "from_high_reference": -0.339919, "from_low_reference": 0.034681 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.736167, "fair_value_reference": 42.947296, "structural_low": 38.089035, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.001772, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": -0.013808, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.321865, "worst_return": -0.195037, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.00388, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027575, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.426776, "worst_return": -0.235389, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.157244, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.212784, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.431178, "worst_return": -0.218228, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 41.306286, 42.178336, 43.555646, 44.652312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 39.379848, "volume": 256, "typical_volume": 55.35, "trend": 46.067939, "fair_value": 43.114523, "relative_strength": -30.729834, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.027944, "energy": 85.723059, "activity_lines": [ 40.491513, 41.545566, 43.06041, 44.184523 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.174198, "volume": 559, "typical_volume": 72.35, "trend": 45.549225, "fair_value": 43.04942, "relative_strength": -29.859103, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.05091, "energy": 84.397805, "activity_lines": [ 40.2282, 41.171771, 42.677835, 43.804281 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.170002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 72.35, "trend": 45.139494, "fair_value": 43.001922, "relative_strength": -25.861925, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.458187, "energy": 57.581326, "activity_lines": [ 40.781875, 41.225501, 42.515301, 43.586267 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.41, "volume": 988, "typical_volume": 121.75, "trend": 44.736167, "fair_value": 42.947296, "relative_strength": -32.216297, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.310488, "energy": 58.574235, "activity_lines": [ 40.376216, 40.785412, 42.110889, 43.216622 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }