{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6b8000b0-cfe1-4089-8390-bf5e203f270b", "symbol": "300511", "name": "Shanghai Xuerong Biotechnology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.724, "architecture_energy": 61.973, "architecture_maturity": 34.002, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.85, "rotation_up": 23.51, "upward_expansion": 12.96, "deceleration": 44.5, "rotation_down": 50.9, "downward_expansion": 81.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.181333, 5.278545, 5.777619, 6.112344 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.27, "trend_reference": 6.400333, "distance_from_trend": -0.176605, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.243141, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.005123, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.327594, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.143089, "excess_performance": -0.150489, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.176605, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068591, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.005123, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.427292, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.213276, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153574, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.143089, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.455079, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 93013776, "relative_activity": 0.913646, "balance": 0.455079, "dry_up": 1.006199, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096482, "annualized_volatility": 0.441921, "from_high_reference": -0.38, "from_low_reference": 0.114165 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.400333, "fair_value_reference": 5.243141, "structural_low": 4.73, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.041667, "positive_rate": 0.391304, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": -0.01195, "regime_survival": 0.869565, "best_return": 0.248276, "worst_return": -0.326531, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.026876, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.032173, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.548276, "worst_return": -0.361446, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.019883, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.015611, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.010345, "worst_return": -0.366412, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.044776, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.00565, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.054688, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.082333, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.115385, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.143048, 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"2026-07-31", "close": 5.15, "volume": 82412485, "typical_volume": 101464304.65, "trend": 6.432667, "fair_value": 5.25609, "relative_strength": -19.665507, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.44486, "energy": 61.02058, "activity_lines": [ 5.192667, 5.310727, 5.878, 6.187355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.27, "volume": 93013776, "typical_volume": 101805003.1, "trend": 6.400333, "fair_value": 5.243141, "relative_strength": -21.327594, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.723549, "energy": 61.972769, "activity_lines": [ 5.181333, 5.278545, 5.777619, 6.112344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }