{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6bb95c73-df51-4803-bc98-9d566e85f4c1", "symbol": "5288", "name": "Sime Darby Property Berhad", "exchange": "KLS", "country": "MY", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^KLSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 74.771, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.888, "architecture_energy": 52.524, "architecture_maturity": 12.328, "architecture_confidence": 83.504, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.99, "rotation_up": 12.88, "upward_expansion": 10.1, "deceleration": 40.49, "rotation_down": 64.93, "downward_expansion": 85.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.331333, 1.348545, 1.381238, 1.384328 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.32, "trend_reference": 1.395504, "distance_from_trend": -0.054105, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.224742, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.077778, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.308093, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.114509, "excess_performance": -0.105182, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.054105, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004525, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.077778, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.182028, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.083081, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064998, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.114509, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.69399, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26250200, "relative_activity": 0.812304, "balance": 1.69399, "dry_up": 0.855367, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05303, "annualized_volatility": 0.259947, "from_high_reference": -0.153846, "from_low_reference": 0.1 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.395504, "fair_value_reference": 1.224742, "structural_low": 1.2, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.019586, "positive_rate": 0.65, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.001194, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.162498, "worst_return": -0.146825, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.070368, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.025992, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.233871, "worst_return": -0.182609, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.056488, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.041672, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.17302, "worst_return": -0.203389, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"relative_strength": -5.097019, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.571018, "energy": 37.540335, "activity_lines": [ 1.367333, 1.391091, 1.402412, 1.402168 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.35, "volume": 30059300, "typical_volume": 34270140.0, "trend": 1.405321, "fair_value": 1.210563, "relative_strength": -6.702526, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.885618, "energy": 47.194242, "activity_lines": [ 1.358, 1.380364, 1.398658, 1.398529 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.37, "volume": 26974900, "typical_volume": 33469350.0, "trend": 1.404589, "fair_value": 1.215774, "relative_strength": -5.596171, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.014782, "energy": 43.794911, "activity_lines": [ 1.359333, 1.375091, 1.396633, 1.396251 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 1.3, "volume": 27282900, "typical_volume": 33079295.0, "trend": 1.400206, "fair_value": 1.220119, "relative_strength": -9.565515, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.818833, "energy": 56.087292, "activity_lines": [ 1.34, 1.359273, 1.387952, 1.389503 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 1.32, "volume": 26250200, "typical_volume": 32315730.0, "trend": 1.395504, "fair_value": 1.224742, "relative_strength": -8.308093, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.887761, "energy": 52.523546, "activity_lines": [ 1.331333, 1.348545, 1.381238, 1.384328 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }